Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 11

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday


	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth		Ironi Nesher

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.05	5.7
	1.45	3.87	5.78
	1.46	4.21	5.87	Watch
	1.44	3.98	6.41
	1.45	4	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 (1.45)	4.02 ↓ (4.1)	5.9 ↑ (5.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
62.3%

Draw
22.4%

Ironi Nesher
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

22%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

21%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Ironi Nesher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ironi Nesher than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Ironi Nesher Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 0 - 1, Mizrahi O. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maccabi Nazareth won 4.

Maccabi Nazareth is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ironi Nesher's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Maccabi Nazareth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Maccabi Nazareth has had a series of away games.

In this match, Maccabi Nazareth is a strong favorite.

We predict that Maccabi Nazareth will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Maccabi Nazareth won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.5:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Maccabi Nazareth won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Israeli Liga Alef North
04.12.25	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	1:3 ✺
28.11.25	Tzeirey Um El Fahem - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	1:2 ✺
07.11.25	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	1:1 ✺
31.10.25	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	0:1 ✺
Israeli State Cup
28.10.25	Ironi Modiin - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 WWTWW
- Ironi Nesher
Israeli Liga Alef North
05.12.25	Ironi Nesher - Tzeirey Um El Fahem	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad - Ironi Nesher	3:0 ✺
07.11.25	Ironi Nesher - Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad	3:2 ✺
31.10.25	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Ironi Nesher	3:0 ✺
17.10.25	Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef North
03.01.25	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Ironi Nesher	2:1
06.02.24	Ironi Nesher - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	3:2
Israeli Liga Leumit
29.01.18	Ironi Nesher - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	0:1
15.09.17	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Ironi Nesher	2:0
10.02.17	Ironi Nesher - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	0:2
28.10.16	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Ironi Nesher	0:0

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