Match Info

ISRAEL: Liga Alef North - Round 22

Date: 21 February 2025, Friday


	Ironi Nesher		Hapoel Kiryat Yam

	1	X	2
	9.8	5.6	1.22
	9.35	5.29	1.22
	10.09	5.37	1.25	Watch
	11.7	5.75	1.19
	9.8	5.6	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.15 ↑ (7.27)	5.52 ↑ (5)	1.22 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ironi Nesher
9%

Draw
16.5%

Hapoel Kiryat Yam
74.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.5%

18.2%

69.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12%

17.5%

72.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ironi Nesher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Hapoel Kiryat Yam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hapoel Kiryat Yam's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ironi Nesher than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Kiryat Yam than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Kiryat Yam Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 0 - 1, Hadad G. (Pen),

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League).

Recent matches Ironi Nesher is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Hapoel Kiryat Yam is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hapoel Kiryat Yam could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Ironi Nesher have a series of guest games.

In this match Hapoel Kiryat Yam is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ironi Nesher won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0:7 (average 0:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Ironi Nesher won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ironi Nesher
Israeli Liga Alef North
18.02.25	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Ironi Nesher	1:1 ✺
14.02.25	Hapoel Bnei Zalafa - Ironi Nesher	3:1 ✺
07.02.25	Hapoel Bueine - Ironi Nesher	0:0 ✺
30.01.25	Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Beit Shean	1:1 ✺
21.01.25	Tzeirei Kafr Kanna - Ironi Nesher	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TLTTT
- Hapoel Kiryat Yam
Israeli Liga Alef North
18.02.25	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	4:0 ✺
14.02.25	MS Tira - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	1:0 ✺
05.02.25	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad	3:0 ✺
31.01.25	Ihud Bnei Shfaram - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	0:4 ✺
24.01.25	Hapoel Bnei Araba - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef North
22.11.24	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Ironi Nesher	2:0
26.02.24	Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	0:3
22.09.23	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Ironi Nesher	2:0

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