Match Info

Date: 14 September 2021, Tuesday


	Irtysh Omsk		Spartak Tuymazy

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.9	3.3
	1.85	3.6	3.4
	1.77	3.55	3.5
	1.77	3.63	3.67
	1.82	3.64	3.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.15)	3.66 ↑ (3.4)	3.53 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Irtysh Omsk
50%

Draw
24.6%

Spartak Tuymazy
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

26.3%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

19.6%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Irtysh Omsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Irtysh Omsk's performance.

Spartak Tuymazy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spartak Tuymazy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Irtysh Omsk than the current prediction. (-19%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Irtysh Omsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Tuymazy than the current prediction. (+17.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spartak Tuymazy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Irtysh Omsk - Spartak Tuymazy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 10).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Spartak Tuymazy could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Irtysh will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Irtysh Omsk
Russian FNL 2 Group 4
05.09.21	Chelyabinsk - Irtysh Omsk	4:1 ✺
02.09.21	Ural 2 - Irtysh Omsk	1:1 ✺
21.08.21	Irtysh Omsk - Tyumen	2:4 ✺
18.08.21	Irtysh Omsk - Zvezda Perm	1:0 ✺
07.08.21	Orenburg-2 - Irtysh Omsk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTLWT
- Spartak Tuymazy
Russian FNL 2 Group 4
05.09.21	Spartak Tuymazy - Zvezda Perm	3:2 ✺
30.08.21	Orenburg-2 - Spartak Tuymazy	1:2 ✺
18.08.21	Spartak Tuymazy - Novosibirsk	0:1 ✺
07.08.21	Tyumen - Spartak Tuymazy	4:3 ✺
Russian Cup
28.07.21	Spartak Tuymazy - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLLL

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