The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ischia Isolaverde 44.8%
Draw 27%
Melfi 28.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.9%
29%
31%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.6%
27.8%
29.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ischia Isolaverde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
Melfi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ischia Isolaverde than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melfi than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Ischia Isolaverde - Melfi Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 18th in the Relegation and 15th in the Serie D - Group H (Play Out: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ischia won 2.
Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Ischia has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:8 (averaging 0.6:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ischia against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 2:3 goals (averaging 0.7:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
15
Melfi
9
2
2
5
5:11
-6
8
17
Ischia
9
1
3
5
11:15
-4
6
Last Results with these Odds
Ischia Isolaverde - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 39.95%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.