Match Info

EL SALVADOR: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 2

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Jorge Calero Suárez (Metapán)

Where to Watch on TV:


El-salvador	Canal 4, TCS GO


	Isidro Metapán		Once Deportivo Ahuachapan

	1	X	2
	1.93	3	3.7
	1.98	3.09	4.1
	1.99	3.17	4.06	Watch
	2	2.9	3.9
	1.89	3.05	4.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.77)	3.04 ↓ (3.42)	3.98 ↓ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Isidro Metapán
46.8%

Draw
30.1%

Once Deportivo Ahuachapan
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

26.8%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

26.3%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Isidro Metapán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Isidro Metapán's form might have worsened.

Once Deportivo Ahuachapan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Isidro Metapán than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Isidro Metapán, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Deportivo Ahuachapan than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Isidro Metapán - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Isidro Metapán will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Once Deportivo will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Monterrosa M. ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, Portillo I. ⚽,
43', 2 - 1, Rivas Murillo Y. A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 3 - 1, Monterrosa M. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Isidro Metapán
El Salvador Primera Division
14.12.24	Isidro Metapán - CD FAS	0:0 ✺
11.12.24	CD FAS - Isidro Metapán	2:1 ✺
07.12.24	Isidro Metapán - Alianza San Miguel	1:0 penalties ✺
05.12.24	Alianza San Miguel - Isidro Metapán	1:1 ✺
30.11.24	CD Dragón - Isidro Metapán	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TLWTW
- Once Deportivo Ahuachapan
El Salvador Primera Division
19.01.25	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Fuerte San Francisco	1:2 ✺
21.12.24	CD FAS - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	1:2 ET ✺
15.12.24	Cacahuatique - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	1:2 penalties ✺
12.12.24	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Cacahuatique	1:1 ✺
08.12.24	Luis Ángel Firpo - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
16.11.24	Isidro Metapán - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	2:2
14.09.24	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Isidro Metapán	1:2
07.04.24	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Isidro Metapán	1:0
27.01.24	Isidro Metapán - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	2:1
28.10.23	Isidro Metapán - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	2:0
03.09.23	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Isidro Metapán	2:0
18.05.23	Isidro Metapán - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	1:0

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