Match Info

2. Lig White Group - Round 19

Date: 28 December 2025, Sunday


	Iskenderunspor		Ankaragücü

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.98	2.62
	2.5	3.09	2.74	Watch
	2.4	2.9	2.75
	2.42	3.19	2.83
	2.37	3.1	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.09)	3.05 ↓ (3.16)	2.73 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iskenderunspor
37.2%

Draw
29.6%

Ankaragücü
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

28.6%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

30.1%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iskenderunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Iskenderunspor's form might have worsened.

Ankaragücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ankaragücü's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iskenderunspor than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Iskenderunspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ankaragücü than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ankaragücü, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Iskenderunspor - Ankaragücü Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Guner A. ⚽, Dogan A. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', 1 - 1, Sahin E. ⚽, Biler A. (A),
52', 2 - 1, Yilmaz B. ⚽,
65', 2 - 2, Simsek M. ⚽, Guner A. (A),
72', 3 - 2, Sahin E. (Penalty Awarded),
78', 4 - 2, Sahin E. ⚽, Khalil M. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Lig Play Offs (Play Offs: ) and 9).

Iskenderunspor has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ankaragücü is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Iskenderunspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iskenderunspor
Turkish Second League White Group
22.12.25	Elazığspor - Iskenderunspor	1:3 ✺
17.12.25	Iskenderunspor - Adana 1954	2:3 ✺
13.12.25	24 Erzincanspor - Iskenderunspor	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Iskenderunspor - Erbaaspor	1:0 ✺
26.11.25	İnegölspor - Iskenderunspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLWWL
- MKE Ankaragücü
Turkish Second League White Group
21.12.25	Ankaragücü - Erbaaspor	1:0 ✺
16.12.25	İnegölspor - Ankaragücü	1:2 ✺
12.12.25	Ankaragücü - Kepez Belediyesi	2:0 ✺
06.12.25	Bucaspor 1928 - Ankaragücü	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Ankaragücü - Beykoz Anadolu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Cup
07.01.25	Ankaragücü - Iskenderunspor	1:1
07.12.23	Ankaragücü - Iskenderunspor	3:1

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