Match Info

TURKEY: Turkish Cup - Qualification - Final

Date: 19 December 2024, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	A Spor
Turkey	A Spor


	Iskenderunspor		Hatayspor

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.33	1.53
	4.4	4.1	1.55
	4.7	4.2	1.55
	5.15	4.05	1.59
				Watch
	4.8	4.2	1.5
	4.87	4.33	1.59	Watch
	4.7	4.2	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.77 ↓ (5.62)	4.2 ↓ (4.28)	1.55 ↑ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iskenderunspor
19.2%

Draw
21.8%

Hatayspor
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.3%

21.4%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.8%

22.1%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iskenderunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Hatayspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iskenderunspor than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hatayspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	8.3%	75%

Iskenderunspor - Hatayspor Predictions

Users Predictions: Hatayspor will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Ekinci A. (G) 31. Eker E. 17. Turhan K. 5. Zengin U. 13. Gor E. 4. Tuzlacik T. 11. Manis M. 8. Isilak G. 23. Eralp S. 14. Colak B. 97. Besir M.	12. Bekaj V. (G) 22. Alici K. 15. Yilmaz R. B. 27. Demir C. 31. Matur O. 16. Temel S. 6. Parmak A. 7. Bamgboye F. 5. Saglam G. 77. Fernandes J. 10. Strandberg C.
Substitutes
66. Basaytac Y. 94. Bilir M. 75. Boyaci H. 37. Cinkara K. 9. Colbeyi M. E. 77. Gur O. 54. Kazanci M. E. (G) 47. Khalil M. 10. Kursun K. 26. Tufekci A.	9. Aboubakar V. 95. Buz Y. A. 78. Daduk E. (G) 17. Diack L. 3. Kilama G. 14. Rui Pedro 34. Saricali D. (G) 25. Yildiz A. 93. Zobu I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', Alici K. 🟨,
31', Eralp S. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Saglam G. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Temel S. ↓, Diack L. ↑,
46', Matur O. ↓, Kilama G. ↑,
46', Strandberg C. ↓, Aboubakar V. ↑,
81', Yilmaz R. B. 🟨,
82', Manis M. ↓, Gur O. ↑,
88', Eralp S. ↓, Kursun K. ↑,
88', Colak B. ↓, Basaytac Y. ↑,
90', Basaytac Y. 🟨,
90', Saglam G. 🟨,
90+2', Tuzlacik T. ↓, Tufekci A. ↑,
90+2', Besir M. ↓, Bilir M. ↑,
90+3', Isilak G. 🟨,
90+4', Zengin U. 🟨,

Preview

Iskenderunspor is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Hatayspor is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Iskenderunspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hatayspor is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iskenderunspor
Turkish Second League White Group
14.12.24	Iskenderunspor - Kastamonuspor	1:1 ✺
08.12.24	Altınordu - Iskenderunspor	1:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.12.24	Iskenderunspor - Tire 2021	4:1 ✺
Turkish Second League White Group
30.11.24	Ankaraspor - Iskenderunspor	1:3 ✺
23.11.24	Iskenderunspor - Adana 1954	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TWWWT
- Hatayspor
Turkish Super League
15.12.24	Hatayspor - Göztepe	1:1 ✺
08.12.24	İstanbul Başakşehir - Hatayspor	3:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
05.12.24	Hatayspor - Osmaniyespor	5:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
02.12.24	Hatayspor - Beşiktaş	1:1 ✺
24.11.24	Konyaspor - Hatayspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TLWTT

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