Match Info

Montenegrin Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Braca Velasevic Stadium (Danilovgrad)


	Iskra Danilovgrad		Arsenal Tivat

	1	X	2
	4.15	3.35	1.75
	4.29	3.26	1.76
	4.26	3.33	1.81	Watch
	4.22	3.38	1.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.23 ↑ (4.18)	3.33 ↓ (3.47)	1.77 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iskra Danilovgrad
21.5%

Draw
27.3%

Arsenal Tivat
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

26%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

22.7%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Iskra Danilovgrad have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Arsenal Tivat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iskra Danilovgrad than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Tivat than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arsenal Tivat, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Iskra Danilovgrad - Arsenal Tivat Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal Tivat (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Arsenal Tivat will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, ⚽,
16', 2 - 0, ⚽,
29', 3 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Iskra won 2.

Iskra has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Arsenal Tivat is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Arsenal Tivat is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Iskra won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.4:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Iskra won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iskra Danilovgrad
Montenegrin Druga Liga
18.10.25	Igalo - Iskra Danilovgrad	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Iskra Danilovgrad - Lovćen	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Berane - Iskra Danilovgrad	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Rudar Pljevlja - Iskra Danilovgrad	0:1 ✺
24.09.25	Iskra Danilovgrad - Internacional	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLTWT
- Arsenal Tivat
Montenegrin First League
18.10.25	Budućnost Podgorica - Arsenal Tivat	4:2 ✺
08.10.25	Arsenal Tivat - Mornar Bar	0:1 ✺
01.10.25	Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje - Arsenal Tivat	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Mladost Donja Gorica - Arsenal Tivat	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Arsenal Tivat - Dečić Tuzi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Montenegrin Cup
03.05.23	Arsenal Tivat - Iskra Danilovgrad	2:3 penalties
Montenegrin First League
29.04.23	Arsenal Tivat - Iskra Danilovgrad	2:3
Montenegrin Cup
19.04.23	Iskra Danilovgrad - Arsenal Tivat	1:3
Montenegrin First League
04.03.23	Iskra Danilovgrad - Arsenal Tivat	0:1
30.10.22	Arsenal Tivat - Iskra Danilovgrad	3:0
20.08.22	Iskra Danilovgrad - Arsenal Tivat	2:3
Montenegrin Cup
25.11.20	Arsenal Tivat - Iskra Danilovgrad	0:1

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