Match Info

MONTENEGRO: Druga Liga - Round 30

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Braca Velasevic Stadium (Danilovgrad)


	Iskra Danilovgrad		Bokelj

	1	X	2
	12	5.5	1.2
	10.2	4.99	1.26
	12	5.5	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.4 ↑ (6.84)	5.33 ↑ (3.55)	1.22 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iskra Danilovgrad
8%

Draw
17.1%

Bokelj
74.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.5%

26%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.7%

26.4%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iskra Danilovgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Iskra Danilovgrad's form might have worsened.

Bokelj has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bokelj's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iskra Danilovgrad than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Iskra Danilovgrad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bokelj than the current prediction. (-15.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bokelj, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Mori E. ⚽,
45+1', 0 - 2, Vukcevic P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', 🟥,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Iskra won 2.

Recent matches Iskra is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bokelj is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bokelj could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bokelj is indisputable favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Iskra won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Iskra won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iskra Danilovgrad
Montenegrin Druga Liga
17.04.24	Iskra Danilovgrad - Podgorica	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Kom Podgorica - Iskra Danilovgrad	0:1 ✺
07.04.24	Igalo - Iskra Danilovgrad	1:1 ✺
03.04.24	Lovćen - Iskra Danilovgrad	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Iskra Danilovgrad - Grbalj Radanovici	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWTLW
- FK Bokelj
Montenegrin Druga Liga
13.04.24	Bokelj - Lovćen	3:0 ✺
07.04.24	Grbalj Radanovici - Bokelj	1:3 ✺
03.04.24	Internacional - Bokelj	0:4 ✺
30.03.24	Bokelj - Podgorica	2:0 ✺
24.03.24	Otrant - Bokelj	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Montenegrin Druga Liga
06.03.24	Bokelj - Iskra Danilovgrad	3:0
15.10.23	Iskra Danilovgrad - Bokelj	2:1
26.08.23	Bokelj - Iskra Danilovgrad	2:0
Montenegrin First League
22.04.17	Iskra Danilovgrad - Bokelj	0:0
21.02.17	Bokelj - Iskra Danilovgrad	0:1
17.09.16	Iskra Danilovgrad - Bokelj	1:0
29.05.16	Bokelj - Iskra Danilovgrad	0:1

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