Match Info

Prva Crnogorska Liga - Round 27

Date: 2 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Olympic (Ulcinj)

Referee: Cadenovic L. (Mne)


	Otrant		Bokelj

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.87	2.5
	2.24	3.05	3.1	Watch
	2.23	3.21	3.04	Watch
	2.55	2.86	2.6
	2.08	3.14	3.35
	2.2	3.05	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (3.25)	3.03 ↑ (3)	2.94 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Otrant
39.2%

Draw
30%

Bokelj
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

29.8%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

28.3%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Otrant has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Otrant's performance.

Bokelj has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bokelj might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Otrant than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Otrant that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bokelj than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bokelj could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Otrant - Bokelj Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Ljuljanovic D. (G) 18. Decbitric E. 75. Filipovic S. 8. Gashi K. 66. Malesevic L. 87. Mrvaljevic B. 10. Muharemovic H. 7. Musah B. 4. Redzovic B. (C) 29. Terzic V. 22. Vico S.	88. Spasojevic S. (G) 15. Bumbar D. 29. Cavor M. (C) 22. Cavor V. 7. Janketic V. 17. Mrsulja S. 8. Mukovic F. 31. Perovic D. 33. Raso B. 24. Siladji V. 23. Sklender P.
Substitutes
1. Agovic J. (G) 21. Harada H. 19. Raickovic M. 11. Rudovic A. 30. Rudovic V. 17. Sefa E. 9. Vujacic A. 24. Vukcevic P. 5. Vukotic N.	18. Cetkovic B. 2. Kovacevic D. 1. Licina S. (G) 14. Mori E. 9. Pepic D. 3. Petrovic N. 19. Suwa Y. 25. Vilotijevic Z.
Coaches
Kaplanbegu D.	Draskovic S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', 🟨,
35', Siladji V. ↓, Pepic D. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sklender P. ↓, Suwa Y. ↑,
49', 0 - 1, Janketic V. ⚽,
49', Janketic V. 🟨,
50', 🟨,
53', 🟨,
54', 🟨,
57', Decbitric E. 🟨,
62', Terzic V. ↓, Rudovic A. ↑,
62', Redzovic B. ↓, Vukotic N. ↑,
62', Decbitric E. ↓, Raickovic M. ↑,
72', Musah B. ↓, Rudovic A. ↑,
72', Muharemovic H. ↓, Vujacic A. ↑,
72', Raso B. ↓, Cetkovic B. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Otrant won 0.

Otrant is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bokelj has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Otrant could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Bokelj have a series of home games.

Bokelj will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Otrant won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 11:25 (average 0.7:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Otrant won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:11 (average 0.5:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Otrant
Montenegrin First League
29.03.25	Arsenal Tivat - Otrant	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Otrant - Sutjeska	0:2 ✺
12.03.25	Budućnost Podgorica - Otrant	5:1 ✺
08.03.25	Otrant - Dečić Tuzi	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje - Otrant	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LLLWL
- FK Bokelj
Montenegrin First League
29.03.25	Bokelj - Mornar Bar	0:2 ✺
24.03.25	Bokelj - Dečić Tuzi	0:1 ✺
16.03.25	Bokelj - Petrovac	0:4 ✺
12.03.25	Arsenal Tivat - Bokelj	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Bokelj - Sutjeska	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Montenegrin First League
01.12.24	Bokelj - Otrant	1:0
28.09.24	Otrant - Bokelj	1:2
Montenegrin Druga Liga
12.05.24	Bokelj - Otrant	2:1
24.03.24	Otrant - Bokelj	0:0
12.11.23	Bokelj - Otrant	1:1
17.09.23	Otrant - Bokelj	1:1
26.04.23	Bokelj - Otrant	1:3

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