Match Info

MONTENEGRO: PRVA CRNOGORSKA LIGA - ROUND 33

Date: 7 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Braca Velasevic Stadium (Danilovgrad)

Referee: Boskovic M. (Mne)


	Iskra Danilovgrad		Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.43	4.1	5.75
	1.71	3	4.54
	1.87	3.34	3.96
	1.73	3.45	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (2.06)	3.47 ↑ (3.19)	4.64 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iskra Danilovgrad
54.1%

Draw
26.2%

Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

28.5%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

28.6%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iskra Danilovgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Iskra Danilovgrad's performance.

Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iskra Danilovgrad than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Iskra Danilovgrad that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	0%	31.2%

Iskra Danilovgrad - Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Iskra will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Jedinstvo BP will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Iskra: 46.1% – 91.5%.

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Iskra won 1.

Recent matches Iskra is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Iskra could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Iskra is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Iskra won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Iskra won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iskra Danilovgrad
Montenegrin Cup
03.05.23	Arsenal Tivat - Iskra Danilovgrad	2:3 penalties ✺
Montenegrin First League
29.04.23	Arsenal Tivat - Iskra Danilovgrad	2:3 ✺
23.04.23	Iskra Danilovgrad - Sutjeska	0:2 ✺
Montenegrin Cup
19.04.23	Iskra Danilovgrad - Arsenal Tivat	1:3 ✺
Montenegrin First League
15.04.23	Rudar Pljevlja - Iskra Danilovgrad	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWLLL
- Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje
Montenegrin First League
29.04.23	Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje - Mornar Bar	3:1 ✺
23.04.23	Jezero - Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje	2:1 ✺
19.04.23	Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje - Jezero	2:1 ✺
15.04.23	Petrovac - Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje	2:3 ✺
09.04.23	Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje - Arsenal Tivat	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Montenegrin First League
08.03.23	Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje - Iskra Danilovgrad	2:1
06.11.22	Iskra Danilovgrad - Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje	1:3
28.08.22	Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje - Iskra Danilovgrad	2:1
30.04.17	Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje - Iskra Danilovgrad	0:2
19.11.16	Iskra Danilovgrad - Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje	1:2
24.08.16	Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje - Iskra Danilovgrad	1:2

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