Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Round 22

Date: 10 November 2025, Monday


	Istiklol Dushanbe		Eskhata Khujand

	1	X	2
	1.30	4.57	9.57	Watch
	1.23	4.85	12.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.3)	4.71 ↑ (4.57)	10.84 ↑ (9.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Istiklol Dushanbe
72.2%

Draw
19.4%

Eskhata Khujand
8.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.4%

20%

9.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.8%

19.1%

9.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Istiklol Dushanbe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Eskhata Khujand has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Istiklol Dushanbe than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eskhata Khujand than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 2)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification: ) and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Istiklol won 5.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Eskhata may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Istiklol has had a series of home games.

In this match, Istiklol is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Istiklol won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:2. (average 3.3:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Istiklol won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:2. (average 4.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Istiklol Dushanbe
AFC Champions League 2
05.11.25	Al-Zawraa - Istiklol Dushanbe	2:1 ✺
Tajik League
28.10.25	Istiklol Dushanbe - Ravshan Kulob	6:2 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
22.10.25	Istiklol Dushanbe - Al-Zawraa	2:1 ✺
01.10.25	Istiklol Dushanbe - Goa	2:0 ✺
Tajik League
24.09.25	Istiklol Dushanbe - Barkchi Hisor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWWWW
- Eskhata Khujand
Tajik League
02.11.25	Eskhata Khujand - Barkchi Hisor	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	CSKA-Pomir - Eskhata Khujand	3:3 ✺
18.10.25	Eskhata Khujand - Panjshir	1:0 ✺
23.09.25	Eskhata Khujand - Regar-TadAZ	3:0 ✺
18.09.25	Khujand - Eskhata Khujand	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Tajik League
19.05.24	Istiklol Dushanbe - Eskhata Khujand	6:1
30.06.23	Eskhata Khujand - Istiklol Dushanbe	0:3
25.06.23	Istiklol Dushanbe - Eskhata Khujand	5:0
11.09.22	Istiklol Dushanbe - Eskhata Khujand	2:0
04.07.21	Istiklol Dushanbe - Eskhata Khujand	5:1
16.05.21	Eskhata Khujand - Istiklol Dushanbe	0:2

Istiklol Dushanbe - Eskhata Khujand: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide