Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Etelvino Mendonca (Itabaiana)


	Itabaiana		Treze

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.5
	2.7	3	2.55
	2.74	2.71	2.61
	2.79	2.84	2.64	Watch
	2.45	3.25	2.6
	2.64	3	2.53
	2.7	3	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.45)	2.99 ↓ (3.25)	2.57 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Itabaiana
34.3%

Draw
30.4%

Treze
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

27.8%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

28.9%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Itabaiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Treze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Treze than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Itabaiana - Treze Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, da Conceicao Araujo C. ⚽,
31', Arthur Lourenco 🟥,
34', 2 - 0, Schutz ⚽,
39', 3 - 0, Kadu Barone (Pen),
45+5', 3 - 1, Thiaguinho ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AO de Itabaiana
Brazilian Serie D
17.08.24	Porto Velho - Itabaiana	1:2 penalties ✺
11.08.24	Itabaiana - Porto Velho	2:2 ✺
04.08.24	Itabaiana - Atlético Cearense	3:0 ✺
28.07.24	Atlético Cearense - Itabaiana	1:0 ✺
21.07.24	Itabaiana - Juazeirense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTWLL
- Treze FC
Brazilian Serie D
18.08.24	Treze - Altos	2:2 penalties ✺
10.08.24	Altos - Treze	0:1 ✺
04.08.24	Treze - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	3:0 ✺
28.07.24	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Treze	1:1 ✺
21.07.24	Treze - Santa Cruz de Natal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
13.05.18	Itabaiana - Treze	3:3
06.05.18	Treze - Itabaiana	1:0

Itabaiana - Treze: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide