Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 July 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Domingão (Horizonte) 🌤️ ...


	Atlético Cearense		Itabaiana

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.95	2.15
	3.4	3	2.1
	3.64	2.78	2.13
	3.38	2.98	2.19	Watch
	2.88	3.25	2.2
	3.1	3	2.27
	3.4	3	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (2.9)	2.99 ↓ (3.28)	2.16 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Cearense
27.7%

Draw
30.3%

Itabaiana
42%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.3%

27.7%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

25.9%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Cearense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Itabaiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Cearense than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Cearense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Atlético Cearense - Itabaiana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 1 - 0, ⚽,
85', 🟥,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Cearense
Brazilian Serie D
21.07.24	Potiguar - Atlético Cearense	1:1 ✺
13.07.24	Atlético Cearense - América RN	1:2 ✺
07.07.24	Atlético Cearense - Iguatu	0:1 ✺
03.07.24	Maracanã - Atlético Cearense	0:0 ✺
20.06.24	Treze - Atlético Cearense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLLTT
- AO de Itabaiana
Brazilian Serie D
21.07.24	Itabaiana - Juazeirense	1:2 ✺
14.07.24	Clube Sociedade Esportiva - Itabaiana	2:1 ✺
07.07.24	Itabaiana - Petrolina	2:0 ✺
03.07.24	Itabaiana - Retrô Brasil	2:1 ✺
26.06.24	Sergipe - Itabaiana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWWL

Atlético Cearense - Itabaiana

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Atlético Cearense - Itabaiana Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Form

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