The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Itabirito 57%
Draw 24.4%
Tupynambás 18.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.4%
26.1%
16.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.9%
25%
15.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Itabirito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Tupynambás has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabirito than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tupynambás than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
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Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Mineiro 2 (Final Stage: ) and 12 in the zone Relegation).
Recent matches Itabirito is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Tupynambás has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).