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Current Win Probability
Itabirito 31%
Draw 27.8%
Vasco da Gama 41.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.7%
28.4%
37.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.1%
28.7%
37.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Itabirito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabirito than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Itabirito - Vasco da Gama Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Rocha ⚽,
19', 0 - 2, Arce Fretes V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 2, ⚽,
85', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
First leg.
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro A2 Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro A2 Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Itabirito is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Vasco is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Itabirito may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Itabirito won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
Including home match between the teams, Itabirito won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
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