Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO BAIANO - ROUND 7

Date: 7 February 2023, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Itabuna		Doce Mel

	1	X	2
	1.17	5.75	13.5
	1.23	5	10
	1.17	5.88	17.36
	1.14	5.5	19
	1.15	6.45	16.25
	1.17	5.8	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.77)	5.73 ↑ (3.05)	14.85 ↑ (4.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Itabuna
77.9%

Draw
15.9%

Doce Mel
6.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.1%

29.6%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

28.9%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Itabuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Itabuna's performance.

Doce Mel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Doce Mel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itabuna than the current prediction. (-25.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Itabuna that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doce Mel than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Doce Mel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Itabuna - Doce Mel Predictions

Users Predictions: Itabuna will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Baiano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Itabuna is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Doce Mel has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Itabuna could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Itabuna have a series of guest games.

In this match Itabuna is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Itabuna EC
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
01.02.23	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Itabuna	0:0 ✺
28.01.23	Jacuipense - Itabuna	1:1 ✺
24.01.23	Itabuna - Juazeirense	1:2 ✺
21.01.23	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Itabuna	0:1 ✺
15.01.23	Vitória Salvador - Itabuna	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 TTLWW
- Doce Mel EC
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
04.02.23	Doce Mel - Juazeirense	1:2 ✺
29.01.23	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Doce Mel	3:0 ✺
26.01.23	Vitória Salvador - Doce Mel	3:0 ✺
22.01.23	Doce Mel - Bahia de Feira	1:1 ✺
15.01.23	Jacobinense - Doce Mel	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLTL

Itabuna - Doce Mel

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Itabuna - Doce Mel Predictions

Preview

Form

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