Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO BAIANO - ROUND 6

Date: 1 February 2023, Wednesday

Location: Carneiro (Alagoinhas)


	Atlético de Alagoinhas		Itabuna

	1	X	2
	1.83	3	4
	1.78	3.3	3.9
	1.81	3.1	3.9
	1.85	3.03	4.52
	1.88	2.9	4.2
	1.9	3.13	4.2
	1.87	3.15	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.87)	3.09 ↓ (3.24)	4.12 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético de Alagoinhas
48.9%

Draw
29.2%

Itabuna
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

27.9%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

28.9%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético de Alagoinhas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Itabuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Alagoinhas than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabuna than the current prediction. (+1%)

Atlético de Alagoinhas - Itabuna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Baiano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Recent matches Atlético de Alagoinhas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Itabuna is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Atlético de Alagoinhas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Atlético de Alagoinhas is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético de Alagoinhas
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
29.01.23	Jacobinense - Atlético de Alagoinhas	0:1 ✺
25.01.23	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Jacuipense	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
22.01.23	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Náutico Capibaribe	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
18.01.23	Bahia - Atlético de Alagoinhas	2:1 ✺
15.01.23	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Bahia de Feira	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLW
- Itabuna EC
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
28.01.23	Jacuipense - Itabuna	1:1 ✺
24.01.23	Itabuna - Juazeirense	1:2 ✺
21.01.23	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Itabuna	0:1 ✺
15.01.23	Vitória Salvador - Itabuna	1:4 ✺
10.01.23	Itabuna - Jacobinense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 TLWWW

Atlético de Alagoinhas - Itabuna: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide