Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 6

Date: 2 June 2024, Sunday


	Itabuna		Serra

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.95	2.85
	2.3	3.1	2.9
	2.38	3.05	3.01
	2.39	2.59	3.01
	2.31	3.04	3
	2.3	3.1	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.54)	2.97 ↑ (2.89)	2.95 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Itabuna
38.8%

Draw
30.4%

Serra
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

31.3%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

32.5%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Itabuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Serra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itabuna than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serra than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Itabuna - Serra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Gugu Vieira ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Edenilson ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
66', 2 - 1, Lawan ⚽,
76', 3 - 1, Lawan ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Itabuna could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Itabuna EC
Brazilian Serie D
25.05.24	Itabuna - Nova Iguaçu	0:0 ✺
18.05.24	Portuguesa RJ - Itabuna	1:1 ✺
12.05.24	Itabuna - Audax Rio	1:0 ✺
04.05.24	Ipatinga - Itabuna	2:3 ✺
28.04.24	Itabuna - Noroeste	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 TTWWT
- Serra FC
Brazilian Serie D
24.05.24	Serra - Ipatinga	1:0 ✺
21.05.24	Serra - Democrata SL	1:0 ✺
11.05.24	Noroeste - Serra	0:0 ✺
04.05.24	Nova Iguaçu - Serra	4:0 ✺
27.04.24	Serra - Audax Rio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 WWTLW

Itabuna - Serra: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide