Match Info

EUROPE: UEFA Nations League Women - League A - Round 1

Date: 21 February 2025, Friday

Location: Brianteo (Monza)

Referee: Kulcsar K. (Hun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	RAI 2, RaiPlay
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport
Wales	BBC Wales


	Italy W		Wales W

	1	X	2
	1.28	5	8
				Watch
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↑ (1.13)	5 ↓ (5.8)	8 ↓ (15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Italy W
70.6%

Draw
18.1%

Wales W
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.7%

15.3%

5.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Italy W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Italy W's form might have worsened.

Wales W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wales W's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Italy W - Wales W Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Italy will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Wales will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Giuliani L. (G) AC Milan 3. Di Guglielmo L. AS Roma 19. Lenzini M. Juventus 5. Linari E. AS Roma 2. Oliviero E. Lazio 6. Giugliano M. AS Roma 4. Caruso A. Bayern Munich 20. Greggi G. AS Roma 7. Cantore S. Juventus 10. Girelli C. (C) Juventus 11. Bonansea B. Juventus	12. Clark O. (G) Leicester 5. Roberts R. Betis 4. Davies M. Manchester City 14. Ladd H. (C) Everton 3. Evans G. Liverpool 2. Woodham L. Crystal Palace 7. Holland C. Liverpool 8. James A. Seattle Reign 10. Fishlock J. Seattle Reign 20. Jones C. Norrkoping 11. Cain H. Leicester
Substitutes
22. Baldi R. (G) Inter 14. Beccari C. Juventus 17. Boattin L. Juventus 21. Cambiaghi M. Inter 16. Dragoni G. AS Roma 12. Durante F. (G) Fiorentina 9. Giacinti V. AS Roma 13. Merlo B. Inter 18. Piemonte M. Lazio 23. Piga J. AC Milan 15. Serturini A. Inter 8. Severini E. Fiorentina	9. Barton K. Charlton 16. Estcourt C. DC Power 6. Green J. Crystal Palace 22. Griffiths A. Durham 18. Griffiths M. Manchester United 15. Hughes E. Crystal Palace 17. Joel L. Newcastle Utd 13. Jones E. Sunderland 21. Middleton-Patel S. (G) Manchester United 23. Morgan F. Bristol City 1. O'Sullivan L. (G) Gwalia United 19. Powell E. Bristol City
Coaches
Soncin A.	Wilkinson R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Bonansea B. ⚽, Giugliano M. (A),
37', Jones C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jones C. ↓, Morgan F. ↑,
55', Girelli C. 🟨,
63', Greggi G. ↓, Dragoni G. ↑,
63', Girelli C. ↓, Cambiaghi M. ↑,
69', Fishlock J. ↓, Joel L. ↑,
69', Holland C. ↓, Griffiths M. ↑,
78', Bonansea B. ↓, Merlo B. ↑,
78', Cantore S. ↓, Piemonte M. ↑,
85', Roberts R. ↓, Green J. ↑,
85', Cain H. ↓, Estcourt C. ↑,
90+4', Evans G. 🟨,

Preview

In this match Italy is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Italy won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:0 (average 2.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Italy W
Friendly International Women
02.12.24	Germany W - Italy W	1:2 ✺
29.10.24	Italy W - Spain W	1:1 ✺
25.10.24	Italy W - Malta W	5:0 ✺
UEFA Euro Women
16.07.24	Italy W - Finland W	4:0 ✺
12.07.24	Netherlands W - Italy W	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 40.2 WTWWT
- Wales W
UEFA Euro Women
03.12.24	Ireland W - Wales W	1:2 ✺
29.11.24	Wales W - Ireland W	1:1 ✺
29.10.24	Wales W - Slovakia W	2:0 ET ✺
25.10.24	Slovakia W - Wales W	2:1 ✺
16.07.24	Wales W - Kosovo W	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Women
22.01.19	Italy W - Wales W	2:0
International Tournament Cyprus Football Women
02.03.18	Wales W - Italy W	0:3

Italy W - Wales W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide