Match Info

Euro Women - Round 3

Date: 11 July 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Wankdorf (Bern) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2
Argentina	16:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	05:00	Optus Sport, Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	21:00	BNT News App, Ketnet, RTBF Auvio Direct
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	BHT 1
Brazil	16:00	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV
Bulgaria	22:00	BNT 1, BNT 3
Canada	15:00	TSN 3, TSN 5, TSN+
Chile	15:00	Disney+
China	03:00	ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
Croatia	21:00	HRT 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	21:00	CT sport Plus
Denmark	21:00	TV3+, Viaplay
Estonia	22:00	ETV 2
Finland	22:00	YLE Areena, YLE TV2
France	21:00	Free, Molotov TV, TMC
Georgia	23:00	1TV, 1TV Player
Germany	21:00	Das Erste, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
Greece	22:00	ERT 2
Hong Kong	03:00	HOY TV
Hungary	21:00	M4 Sport
Iceland	19:00	RUV 2
India	00:30	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	20:00	RTE 2, RTE Player
Israel	22:00	Sport 2
Italy	21:00	RAI 2, RaiPlay
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	RTK 1
Malta	21:00	TVM Sport+
Mexico	13:00	Disney+, ESPN
Moldova	22:00	TVR Moldova
Netherlands	21:00	Canal+, Sporza
Nigeria	20:00	Supersport Maximo 2
North Macedonia	21:00	MRT 1, MRT 3
Norway	21:00	TV2, TV2 Play
Peru	14:00	Disney+
Poland	21:00	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV2
Romania	22:00	TVR+, TVR Sport
Serbia	21:00	RTS 2
Slovakia	21:00	STVR Sport
Slovenia	21:00	Slovenia TV2
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport Football
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	04:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	21:00	RTVE Play, TVE La 1
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Play RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play
Turkey	22:00	Tabii, TRT Spor
Ukraine	22:00	Suspilne Sport
United Kingdom	20:00	BBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	FOX Network, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, TUDN App, TUDN
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, Inter
International	19:00	Sport 24 Extra


	Italy W		Spain W

	1	X	2
	11	6.5	1.22
	9	5.75	1.28
	11	5.9	1.22
	13	6.5	1.25
				Watch
	4.2	4.2	1.5
	10.6	6.6	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.8 ↓ (13.07)	5.91 (5.91)	1.29 ↑ (1.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Italy W
9.7%

Draw
16.1%

Spain W
74.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

7.2%

16%

76.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Italy W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Spain W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	11.9%	88.1%

Italy W - Spain W Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2, 1st Half - under (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

DNB - Italy (7.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Spain (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Italy (3.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Spain W will win (36 of 41 users predict this - 87.8%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.78% – 97.82%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Spain W will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Italy (votes: 2 - 10%). Spain (votes: 17 - 85%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Giuliani L. (G) AC Milan 19. Lenzini M. Juventus 23. Salvai C. Juventus 5. Linari E. (C) AS Roma 17. Boattin L. Juventus 2. Oliviero E. Lazio 6. Giugliano M. AS Roma 18. Caruso A. Bayern Munich 11. Bonansea B. Juventus 7. Cantore S. Washington Spirit 9. Piemonte M. Lazio	23. Nanclares A. (G) Athletic Bilbao 3. Fernandez J. Barcelona 4. Paredes I. (C) Barcelona 5. Mendez M. Real Madrid 15. Ouahabi L. Manchester City 6. Bonmati A. Barcelona 12. Guijarro P. Barcelona 11. Putellas A. Barcelona 10. del Castillo A. Real Madrid 18. Paralluelo S. Barcelona 8. Caldentey M. Arsenal
Substitutes
12. Baldi R. (G) 14. Bergamaschi V. Juventus 21. Cambiaghi M. Juventus 3. Di Guglielmo L. AS Roma 22. Durante F. (G) Inter 10. Girelli C. Juventus 16. Goldoni E. Lazio 20. Greggi G. AS Roma 13. Piga J. AC Milan 4. Schatzer E. Juventus 15. Serturini A. Inter 8. Severini E. Fiorentina	14. Aleixandri L. Barcelona 2. Batlle O. Barcelona 7. Carmona O. PSG 13. Coll C. (G) Barcelona 17. Garcia L. Monterrey 9. Gonzalez Rodriguez E. Gotham FC 19. Lopez V. Barcelona 16. Martin-Prieto Gutierrez C. SL Benfica 20. Pina C. Barcelona 21. Redondo A. Real Madrid 1. Sullastres E. (G) Sevilla 22. Zubieta M. Athletic Bilbao
Coaches
Soncin A.	Montserrat T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Oliviero E. ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, del Castillo A. ⚽, Putellas A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 1 - 2, Guijarro P. ⚽,
58', del Castillo A. ↓, Lopez V. ↑,
58', Piemonte M. ↓, Girelli C. ↑,
76', Paralluelo S. ↓, Gonzalez Rodriguez E. ↑,
76', Caldentey M. ↓, Pina C. ↑,
76', Giugliano M. ↓, Severini E. ↑,
77', Bonansea B. ↓, Serturini A. ↑,
77', Salvai C. ↓, Piga J. ↑,
85', Cantore S. ↓, Cambiaghi M. ↑,
87', Guijarro P. ↓, Zubieta M. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 3, Gonzalez Rodriguez E. ⚽, Putellas A. (A),

Preview

Spain is Qualified for Euro Women (Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Italy won 1.

Spain is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Italy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Spain is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Italy won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Italy W
UEFA Euro Women
07.07.25	Portugal W - Italy W	1:1 ✺
03.07.25	Belgium W - Italy W	0:1 ✺
UEFA Nations League Women
03.06.25	Wales W - Italy W	1:4 ✺
30.05.25	Italy W - Sweden W	0:0 ✺
08.04.25	Denmark W - Italy W	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWWTW
- Spain W
UEFA Euro Women
07.07.25	Spain W - Belgium W	6:2 ✺
03.07.25	Spain W - Portugal W	5:0 ✺
Friendly International Women
27.06.25	Spain W - Japan W	3:1 ✺
UEFA Nations League Women
03.06.25	Spain W - England W	2:1 ✺
30.05.25	Belgium W - Spain W	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Women
29.10.24	Italy W - Spain W	1:1
UEFA Nations League Women
01.12.23	Spain W - Italy W	2:3
27.10.23	Italy W - Spain W	0:1
Friendly International Women
01.07.22	Italy W - Spain W	1:1
International Tournament Cyprus Football Women
07.03.18	Italy W - Spain W	0:2
FIFA World Cup Women
05.04.14	Italy W - Spain W	0:0
31.10.13	Spain W - Italy W	2:0

Italy W - Spain W