The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Itapipoca 40.5%
Draw 30.1%
Tirol 29.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.8%
28.4%
27.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.5%
27.3%
26.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Itapipoca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Tirol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itapipoca than the current prediction. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tirol than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Veraldo (Pen),
33', 1 - 1, Valtinho ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Felipe R. 🟥,
64', 2 - 1, Valtinho ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 2, Veraldo ⚽,
Preview
1st leg.
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Cearense 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cearense 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Itapipoca in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Tirol is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Tirol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Itapipoca will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Itapipoca won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
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