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Current Win Probability
Tirol 47.1%
Draw 29.7%
Itapipoca 23.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.4%
29.9%
32.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.4%
32.3%
30.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tirol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tirol's performance.
Itapipoca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Itapipoca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tirol than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tirol that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itapipoca than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Itapipoca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Laerth ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, Otacilio Marcos ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
55', 2 - 1, Vitor Ribeiro ⚽,
61', Laerth 🟥,
79', 3 - 1, Diego Viana ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 2, ⚽,
90+5', 🟥,
90+6', 4 - 2, Hulk M. ⚽,
Preview
2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-2.
One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cearense 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Cearense 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Tirol is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Itapipoca is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Itapipoca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Itapipoca have a series of home games.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Tirol won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Tirol won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
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