Match Info

Paulista U20 - Round 14

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday


	Itapirense U20		CA Juventus U20

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.50	1.65
	3.80	3.40	1.79
	4.35	3.52	1.67
	4.65	3.7	1.65	Watch
	4.3	3.45	1.65
	4.13	3.87	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.26 ↑ (3.8)	3.57 ↑ (3.4)	1.69 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Itapirense U20
21.2%

Draw
25.3%

CA Juventus U20
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

26.4%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

25.9%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Itapirense U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

CA Juventus U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itapirense U20 than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CA Juventus U20 than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Itapirense U20 - CA Juventus U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45+1', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
47', 0 - 2, ⚽,
49', 0 - 3, ⚽,
64', 0 - 4, ⚽,
77', 0 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista U20 (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

CA Juventus U20 is Qualified for Paulista U20 (Play Offs 1/16~finals)

Itapirense U20 is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

CA Juventus U20 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, CA Juventus U20 is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Itapirense U20 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SE Itapirense U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
21.08.26	União Suzano U20 - Itapirense U20	2:1 ✺
14.08.26	Itapirense U20 - Santos U20	0:1 ✺
07.08.26	Mirassol U20 - Itapirense U20	2:1 ✺
31.07.26	Itapirense U20 - São Bento U20	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Corinthians U20 - Itapirense U20	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLWL
- CA Juventus U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
21.08.26	Corinthians U20 - CA Juventus U20	1:2 ✺
14.08.26	CA Juventus U20 - Ponte Preta U20	5:0 ✺
06.08.26	Portuguesa SP U20 - CA Juventus U20	3:1 ✺
02.08.26	CA Juventus U20 - Santos U20	0:3 ✺
24.07.26	Portuguesa Santista U20 - CA Juventus U20	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Paulista U20
06.06.25	CA Juventus U20 - Itapirense U20	1:0

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