Match Info

UAE League - Round 3

Date: 11 September 2025, Thursday

Location: Ittihad Kalba Club Stadium (Kalba)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports 1, ADtv, Sharjah Sports
World	Triller TV+


	Ittihad Kalba		Al-Wahda

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.9	3.4	1.75
	3.5	3.5	1.92	Watch
	3.73	3.6	1.95
	3.79	3.90	1.80	Watch
	3.64	3.62	1.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↓ (4.44)	3.6 ↓ (3.79)	1.86 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ittihad Kalba
24.8%

Draw
25.6%

Al-Wahda
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

24.4%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

23.9%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ittihad Kalba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Al-Wahda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Wahda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ittihad Kalba than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Wahda than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Wahda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Ittihad Kalba - Al Wahda Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Wahda (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Wahda will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Al Mantheri S. (G) 18. Rivas R. 3. Sabeel M. 16. Blazic M. 12. Rashid S. 10. Nourollahi A. (C) 20. Saile 7. Ghoddos S. 80. Jovic N. 14. Gassama S. 9. Mohebi M.	36. Ahmed Z. (G) 19. Amaral R. 31. Ivkovic S. 6. Ghorbani M. 5. Zouhir A. 22. Folha B. 25. Jadsom 12. Hamad A. 11. Kruspzky F. 10. Tadic D. 70. Khribin O. M.
Substitutes
42. Abunamous A. 15. Al Hamhami A. 6. Alivoda R. 55. Al Mansoori H. (G) 19. Alnaqbi A. 17. Alzaabi S. (G) 77. Leandro Spadacio 11. Lega S. 25. Mohammed A. 23. Rashid W. 5. Salmin A. 4. Samdaliri A.	80. Abdullah A. 20. Al Menhali M. 1. Al Shamsi M. (G) 15. Amir M. 7. Caio Canedo 94. Diarra B. 32. Guga 2. Mansour S. 8. Mohammed A. 38. Pradas A. 17. Rivera G. 13. Shebab H.
Coaches
Rasovic V.	Morais J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Rashid S. 🟨,
45+3', Ivkovic S. ↓, Diarra B. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ghoddos S. ↓, Salmin A. ↑,
56', Jadsom 🟨,
66', Gassama S. ↓, Lega S. ↑,
67', Mohebi M. ↓, Leandro Spadacio ↑,
74', Kruspzky F. ↓, Caio Canedo ↑,
76', Jovic N. ↓, Abunamous A. ↑,
86', Rivas R. ↓, Al Hamhami A. ↑,
87', Folha B. ↓, Rivera G. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ittihad Kalba won 1.

In recent matches, Ittihad Kalba has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Al-Wahda is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Al-Wahda is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ittihad Kalba won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 18:43. (average 0.9:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ittihad Kalba won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ittihad Kalba
UAE League Cup
05.09.25	Ittihad Kalba - Al Ain	0:1 penalties ✺
30.08.25	Al Ain - Ittihad Kalba	1:1 ✺
UAE Football League
22.08.25	Bani Yas - Ittihad Kalba	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Ittihad Kalba - Al-Nasr	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.25	Al-Sailiya - Ittihad Kalba	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LTWLW
- Al-Wahda FC
UAE League Cup
06.09.25	Ajman Club - Al-Wahda	2:4 ✺
31.08.25	Al-Wahda - Ajman Club	1:1 ✺
UAE Football League
23.08.25	Al-Wahda - Shabab Al-Ahli	0:0 ✺
17.08.25	Ajman Club - Al-Wahda	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.25	Jahn Regensburg - Al-Wahda	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

UAE Football League
29.03.25	Ittihad Kalba - Al-Wahda	0:1
25.10.24	Al-Wahda - Ittihad Kalba	3:1
15.04.24	Ittihad Kalba - Al-Wahda	1:0
27.10.23	Al-Wahda - Ittihad Kalba	2:1
05.02.23	Ittihad Kalba - Al-Wahda	0:2
UAE League Cup
26.11.22	Ittihad Kalba - Al-Wahda	1:5
11.10.22	Al-Wahda - Ittihad Kalba	2:1

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