Match Info

League Cup - Round 1

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Ittihad Kalba Club Stadium (Kalba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports 2


	Ittihad Kalba		Khor Fakkan

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.50	2.85
	2.10	3.35	2.80
	2.03	3.39	3.44
	2.21	3.67	2.75
	2.01	3.35	3.40
	1.98	3.34	3.29	Watch
	2.02	3.40	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.13)	3.43 ↓ (3.51)	3.08 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ittihad Kalba
44.1%

Draw
26.4%

Khor Fakkan
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

25.4%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

24%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ittihad Kalba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Khor Fakkan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ittihad Kalba than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khor Fakkan than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Ittihad Kalba - Khor Fakkan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Al Mantheri S. (G) 96. Fahad M. 22. Gunter K. 26. Cisse I. 19. Vergaz A. 8. Caio Eduardo 41. Neto 10. Nourollahi A. (C) 99. Carlos Alberto 7. Ghoddos S. 30. Tetteh B.	95. Suhail R. (G) 11. Jshak A. (C) 3. Kayque Campos 19. Haquin L. 4. Rafael Pereira 12. Lagrimi I. 91. Traore O. 79. N'Guessan J. 21. Amallah S. 7. Flemmings J. 10. Boa Morte A.
Substitutes
42. Abunamous A. 77. Adyson 27. Al Blooshi Y. 24. Al Darmaki K. 6. Alivoda R. 34. Al Mheiri Y. 9. Biro 94. Juninho 23. Rashid W. 20. Saile 5. Salmeen A. 17. Yousif S. (G)	2. Al Ameri Y. 25. Al Hanae K. 50. Ali R. (G) 96. Al Naour R. (G) 8. Al Naqbi A. 17. Al Zaabi S. 6. Nakach A. 16. Pavlov P. 77. Sarki R. 34. Seymor S. 9. Tissoudali T.
Coaches
Sanchez V.	Rezic K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Neto 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Ghoddos S. ⚽, Fahad M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Traore O. ↓, Pavlov P. ↑,
58', Neto ↓, Salmeen A. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Boa Morte A. ⚽, Flemmings J. (A),
68', Fahad M. ↓, Rashid W. ↑,
68', Ghoddos S. ↓, Biro ↑,
72', Al Mantheri S. 🟨,
81', Flemmings J. ↓, Tissoudali T. ↑,
81', N'Guessan J. ↓, Al Naqbi A. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Nourollahi A. ⚽, Rashid W. (A),
87', Lagrimi I. ↓, Nakach A. ↑,
87', Carlos Alberto ↓, Saile ↑,
87', Nourollahi A. ↓, Alivoda R. ↑,
90', Rafael Pereira ↓, Sarki R. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ittihad Kalba won 2.

The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Ittihad Kalba has recorded 7 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:20 (averaging 1.6:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ittihad Kalba against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 14:10 goals (averaging 1.8:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Ittihad Kalba	2	1	0	1	2:5	-3	3
14	Khorfakkan	2	0	0	2	1:4	-3	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ittihad Kalba
UAE Football League
11.09.26	Ajman Club - Ittihad Kalba	2:3 ✺
04.09.26	Ittihad Kalba - Al Ain	0:2 ✺
28.08.26	United FC - Ittihad Kalba	4:1 ✺
21.08.26	Ittihad Kalba - Al Wasl	0:3 ✺
14.08.26	Al-Nasr - Ittihad Kalba	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLLLT
- Khor Fakkan FC
UAE Football League
11.09.26	Khor Fakkan - Bani Yas	0:0 ✺
04.09.26	Al Wasl - Khor Fakkan	5:2 ✺
29.08.26	Khor Fakkan - Al Dhafra	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Al Ain - Khor Fakkan	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Khor Fakkan - Shabab Al-Ahli	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

UAE Football League
05.05.26	Ittihad Kalba - Khor Fakkan	0:0
UAE Presidents Cup
25.10.25	Khor Fakkan - Ittihad Kalba	2:0
UAE Football League
24.09.25	Khor Fakkan - Ittihad Kalba	2:4
22.02.25	Ittihad Kalba - Khor Fakkan	0:1
28.09.24	Khor Fakkan - Ittihad Kalba	0:2
01.06.24	Khor Fakkan - Ittihad Kalba	2:2
13.02.24	Ittihad Kalba - Khor Fakkan	1:1

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