Match Info

Paulista A2 - First stage - Round 8

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday


	Ituano		Santo André

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.3	3.85	Watch
	1.86	3.45	4.42
	1.75	3.48	4.26	Watch
	1.8	3.3	3.9
	1.83	3.67	3.98
	1.71	3.5	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 (1.8)	3.45 ↑ (3.33)	4.12 ↑ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ituano
51.1%

Draw
26.6%

Santo André
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

27.2%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

26.1%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

The chances for Santo André have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santo André than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Ituano - Santo André Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Neto Berola ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ituano won 2.

Ituano is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Santo André has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Ituano is considered a favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Ituano won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 1.5:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Ituano won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ituano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
01.02.26	Taubaté - Ituano	0:1 ✺
28.01.26	CA Juventus - Ituano	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Ituano - São Bento	2:1 ✺
21.01.26	Linense - Ituano	1:3 ✺
17.01.26	Ituano - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTWWT
- Santo André
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
01.02.26	Santo André - Água Santa	2:1 ✺
28.01.26	Santo André - Ferroviária	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Internacional de Limeira - Santo André	0:1 ✺
21.01.26	Votuporanguense - Santo André	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Santo André - Piracicaba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
15.02.25	Santo André - Ituano	2:2
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
19.02.23	Ituano - Santo André	2:0
05.03.22	Santo André - Ituano	0:0
13.05.21	Ituano - Santo André	5:1
09.05.21	Ituano - Santo André	0:1
26.07.20	Santo André - Ituano	1:3
25.01.18	Ituano - Santo André	0:0

Ituano - Santo André: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide