Match Info

Primera C - Promotion - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio de Ituzaingó (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSports 1611
South-america	DGO Latin America


	Ituzaingó		Deportivo Español

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.21	3.27	Watch
	2.17	2.79	3.58	Watch
	2.12	2.9	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.1)	2.97 ↓ (3.21)	3.42 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ituzaingó
42.7%

Draw
30.7%

Deportivo Español
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

28.5%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

28%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ituzaingó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Deportivo Español has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Español than the current prediction. (+1%)

Ituzaingó - Deportivo Español Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
52', 1 - 0, Gimenez E. ⚽,
65', 2 - 0, Moreira A. ⚽,
67', 2 - 1, Cohen E. I. ⚽,
72', 2 - 2, Rios N. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ituzaingó won 2.

Ituzaingó is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Deportivo Español has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Deportivo Español may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ituzaingó might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ituzaingó won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Ituzaingó won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Español - the odds 3.27 are the expected chance of winning is 27.97%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Ituzaingó
Argentinian Primera C
23.10.25	Deportivo Español - Ituzaingó	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Deportivo Camioneros - Ituzaingó	3:1 ✺
20.09.25	Ituzaingó - Deportivo Camioneros	2:1 ✺
16.09.25	Ituzaingó - Atlético Claypole	1:1 ✺
10.09.25	Deportivo Muñiz - Ituzaingó	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLWTW
- Deportivo Español
Argentinian Primera C
23.10.25	Deportivo Español - Ituzaingó	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Central Córdoba de Rosario - Deportivo Español	0:3 ✺
13.10.25	Deportivo Español - Central Córdoba de Rosario	1:2 ✺
06.10.25	Estrella del Sur - Deportivo Español	1:1 ✺
30.09.25	Deportivo Español - Estrella del Sur	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
23.10.25	Deportivo Español - Ituzaingó	0:1
21.06.25	Deportivo Español - Ituzaingó	0:0
07.03.25	Ituzaingó - Deportivo Español	3:0
20.11.24	Ituzaingó - Deportivo Español	1:1
19.06.24	Deportivo Español - Ituzaingó	0:0
14.09.21	Deportivo Español - Ituzaingó	3:1
24.04.21	Ituzaingó - Deportivo Español	1:0

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