Match Info

Primera C - Round 26

Date: 16 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Carlos Sacaan (Ituzaingó)


	Ituzaingó		Atlético Claypole

	1	X	2
	2	3	3.4
	2.32	2.68	3.2
	3.23	2.87	2.33	Watch
	2.33	2.72	3.32
	2.15	2.77	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.14)	2.81 ↓ (3.05)	3.18 ↓ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ituzaingó
38.3%

Draw
32.8%

Atlético Claypole
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

29.8%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

28.5%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ituzaingó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Atlético Claypole has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ituzaingó, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Claypole than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Ituzaingó - Atlético Claypole Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ituzaingó (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Atlético Claypole (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ituzaingó (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Atlético Claypole (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Politano A. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Toniolo V. 🟥,
70', 1 - 0, Faillace A. (Pen),
82', 1 - 1, Llodra L. (Pen),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Super final: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ituzaingó won 3.

Ituzaingó is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Atlético Claypole's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Ituzaingó will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ituzaingó won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 1.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ituzaingó won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Ituzaingó - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 42.52%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Ituzaingó
Argentinian Primera C
10.09.25	Deportivo Muñiz - Ituzaingó	0:2 ✺
29.08.25	Ituzaingó - Justo José de Urquiza	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	El Porvenir - Ituzaingó	1:1 ✺
15.08.25	Ituzaingó - Defensores de Cambaceres	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Leandro N. Alem - Ituzaingó	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWTWT
- Atlético Claypole
Argentinian Primera C
09.09.25	Atlético Claypole - Deportivo Español	0:0 ✺
26.08.25	Deportivo Muñiz - Atlético Claypole	1:0 ✺
18.08.25	Atlético Claypole - Justo José de Urquiza	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	El Porvenir - Atlético Claypole	0:0 ✺
05.08.25	Atlético Claypole - Defensores de Cambaceres	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
01.06.25	Atlético Claypole - Ituzaingó	0:1
19.10.24	Atlético Claypole - Ituzaingó	1:2
18.05.24	Ituzaingó - Atlético Claypole	0:1
01.08.21	Ituzaingó - Atlético Claypole	2:0
15.03.21	Atlético Claypole - Ituzaingó	3:3
Argentinian Primera D
29.05.17	Atlético Claypole - Ituzaingó	2:3
21.11.16	Ituzaingó - Atlético Claypole	1:0

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