Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 23

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday


	Izarra		Gernika

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.85	2.46
	2.98	2.88	2.57
	2.9	2.95	2.48	Watch
	2.89	3	2.48
	2.95	2.85	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.4)	2.91 ↓ (3.4)	2.49 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Izarra
31.4%

Draw
31.7%

Gernika
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

26.5%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

26.9%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Izarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Izarra's form might have worsened.

Gernika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Izarra than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Izarra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Izarra - Gernika Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Fernandez A. B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
89', 0 - 2, Arzalluz M. ⚽,

Preview

Samsonova is ranked WTA: 23. Pavlyuchenkova is ranked WTA: 25.

Samsonova is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pavlyuchenkova is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Samsonova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Pavlyuchenkova to win the game is with odds 1.81.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Samsonova won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Izarra
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
09.02.25	UD Logroñés - Izarra	4:0 ✺
02.02.25	Izarra - Alavés B	0:0 ✺
26.01.25	Zaragoza B - Izarra	2:0 ✺
19.01.25	Izarra - Alfaro	1:4 ✺
12.01.25	Real Sociedad C - Izarra	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLL
- Gernika Club
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
09.02.25	Gernika - Teruel	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Gernika - UD Logroñés	2:2 ✺
26.01.25	Alavés B - Gernika	0:1 ✺
19.01.25	Gernika - Zaragoza B	3:2 ✺
12.01.25	Alfaro - Gernika	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
05.10.24	Gernika - Izarra	5:2
14.01.24	Izarra - Gernika	2:2
03.09.23	Gernika - Izarra	1:1
12.03.23	Izarra - Gernika	1:2
23.10.22	Gernika - Izarra	2:1
23.01.22	Izarra - Gernika	1:1
05.09.21	Gernika - Izarra	1:1

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