Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 20

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Alfaro		Gernika

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.88	2.4
	3.22	2.86	2.42
	3.12	2.94	2.35	Watch
	3.1	2.7	2.38
	3.12	2.83	2.35
	3.1	2.9	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (3.03)	2.85 ↓ (3.04)	2.38 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alfaro
29.6%

Draw
32%

Gernika
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

29.7%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

29%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Gernika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Alfaro - Gernika Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Gernika (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Gutierrez I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Alfaro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alfaro won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Alfaro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alfaro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
18.01.26	Alavés B - Alfaro	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Alfaro - Eibar B	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	UD Logroñés - Alfaro	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Alfaro - Ebro	0:4 ✺
13.12.25	Mutilvera - Alfaro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.6 LTWLT
- Gernika Club
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
18.01.26	Gernika - Zaragoza B	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Ejea - Gernika	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Gernika - Basconia	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Gernika - Eibar B	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Sestao - Gernika	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
28.09.25	Gernika - Alfaro	1:0
12.01.25	Alfaro - Gernika	2:1
01.09.24	Gernika - Alfaro	0:1
01.04.23	Gernika - Alfaro	2:0
20.11.22	Alfaro - Gernika	0:2

Upcoming Matches