Match Info

Date: 13 September 2020, Sunday


	JDFS Alberts		Auda Riga

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.9	2
	2.85	3.55	2
	2.7	3.75	2.1
	2.74	4	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (2.97)	3.8 ↓ (4.06)	2.03 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 11%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JDFS Alberts
32.5%

Draw
23.5%

Auda Riga
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

22.5%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

17%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JDFS Alberts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Auda Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JDFS Alberts than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with JDFS Alberts that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (+17.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Auda Riga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion to Optibet Virsliga (Promotion)).

Recent matches JDFS Alberts is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Auda is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Auda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Auda will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches JDFS Alberts won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams JDFS Alberts won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JDFS Alberts
Latvian Cup
05.09.20	Rēzekne - JDFS Alberts	2:1
Latvian 1 Liga
30.08.20	JDFS Alberts - Rēzekne	0:2 ✺
Latvian Cup
23.08.20	Limbaži - JDFS Alberts	0:1 penalties
Latvian 1 Liga
19.08.20	JDFS Alberts - Dinamo Rīga	1:0 ✺
16.08.20	JDFS Alberts - Super Nova	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LLWWT
- Auda Riga
Latvian Cup
05.09.20	Auda Riga - Super Nova	5:1 ET
Latvian 1 Liga
29.08.20	Grobiņa - Auda Riga	2:2 ✺
Latvian Cup
23.08.20	Tente - Auda Riga	0:2
Latvian 1 Liga
19.08.20	Auda Riga - Saldus SS Leevon	2:1 ✺
15.08.20	Smiltene - Auda Riga	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
04.07.20	Auda Riga - JDFS Alberts	2:0
11.08.18	JDFS Alberts - Auda Riga	1:2

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