Match Info

Virsliga - Round 17

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Skonto stadions (Riga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Sportacentrs TV, TV4, Virsliga Plus


	Auda Riga		Jelgava

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.35	4.50	6.75
	1.37	4.50	6.40	Watch
	1.36	5.08	9.37
	1.5	4.34	5.57	Watch
	1.33	4.50	7.50
	1.33	5.40	7.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.34)	4.72 ↑ (4.45)	7.19 ↓ (7.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auda Riga
67.5%

Draw
19.6%

Jelgava
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

20.5%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

19.6%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auda Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Jelgava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Auda Riga - Jelgava Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Auda will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Purins N. (G) 71. Rubenis O. 2. Hrvoj T. 18. Arroyo A. 80. Aranda S. 10. Fofana W. 17. Daskevics E. (C) 47. Kone K. 8. Bongemba E. 46. Gerold J. 7. Vergara J.	1. Dvorak A. (G) 19. Petersons A. (C) 13. Novikovs J. 4. Kangars A. 25. Prior L. 21. Kacanovs G. 9. Becers R. 29. Zaleiko G. 8. Melkis R. 22. Pudil M. 17. Rataj T.
Substitutes
12. Aleksandrovs N. (G) 11. Camara O. 25. Diedhiou B. 23. Fofana M. 26. Lusweki H. 77. Minins J. 22. Ogunji A. 1. Sturins R. (G) 33. Trifonovs R.	30. Belanik S. (G) 28. Deklavs A. 10. Holoubek D. 16. Leitis T. (G) 20. Patika G. 3. Semesko M. 18. Smaukstelis E. 5. Smirnovs I.
Coaches
Zanetti D.	Basovs A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Kone K. 🟨,
45', Rataj T. 🟨,
45+1', Rataj T. ↓, Patika G. ↑,
45+3', 0 - 1, Kangars A. ⚽, Zaleiko G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 1 - 1, Daskevics E. ⚽, Fofana W. (A),
60', Becers R. 🟨,
65', Zaleiko G. 🟨,
68', Gerold J. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
72', Kacanovs G. ↓, Smaukstelis E. ↑,
76', Vergara J. 🟨,
81', Daskevics E. ↓, Minins J. ↑,
81', Kone K. ↓, Diedhiou B. ↑,
82', Melkis R. ↓, Holoubek D. ↑,
82', Patika G. ↓, Deklavs A. ↑,
88', Diedhiou B. 🟨,
90', Vergara J. ↓, Camara O. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auda won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Auda is a strong favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Auda won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:9. (average 1.9:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Auda won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:2. (average 2.4:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Auda ✔	32	19	7	6	52:32	20	64
7	Jelgava	32	8	8	16	34:53	-19	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Auda Riga
Latvian Virsliga
30.05.26	Auda Riga - Ogre United	2:0 ✺
26.05.26	BFC Daugavpils - Auda Riga	0:1 ✺
22.05.26	Auda Riga - Liepāja	3:1 ✺
17.05.26	Auda Riga - RFS	0:3 ✺
12.05.26	Riga - Auda Riga	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWLL
- FS Jelgava
Latvian Virsliga
31.05.26	Jelgava - BFC Daugavpils	1:1 ✺
26.05.26	Jelgava - Liepāja	1:1 ✺
21.05.26	RFS - Jelgava	4:0 ✺
16.05.26	Riga - Jelgava	2:2 ✺
11.05.26	Grobiņa - Jelgava	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
21.04.26	Jelgava - Auda Riga	2:3
27.09.25	Jelgava - Auda Riga	1:1
05.07.25	Auda Riga - Jelgava	2:0
15.05.25	Jelgava - Auda Riga	3:1
30.03.25	Auda Riga - Jelgava	2:0
21.10.24	Auda Riga - Jelgava	3:0
28.07.24	Jelgava - Auda Riga	1:3

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