Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 19 June 2025, Thursday

Location: Ilosaarirock Stadion (Joensuu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	JIPPO		TPS

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3.5	2.65
	2.29	3.75	2.88
				Watch
	2.2	3.6	2.6
	2.33	3.56	2.63
	2.63	3.3	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.87)	3.54 ↓ (3.6)	2.63 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JIPPO
39.3%

Draw
25.9%

TPS
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

25.9%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

24.9%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JIPPO has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in JIPPO's performance.

TPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and TPS might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JIPPO than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with JIPPO that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that TPS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

JIPPO - TPS Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. JIPPO will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). TPS will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for JIPPO: 2.5% – 64.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. JIPPO (votes: 1 - 33.3%). TPS (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - TPS (2.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. JIPPO (votes: 1 - 25%). TPS (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Piirainen P. (C) 20. Forss L. 24. Haataja N. 5. Huhtala R. 41. Kikuchi Y. 39. Kiuru J. 4. Pihlaja O. 21. Tykkylainen N. 3. Vesiaho V. 25. Viitaniemi E. 6. Watanabe J.	12. Hakanpaa O. (G) 8. Bostrom A. 2. Haggstrom O. 9. Helen O. 20. Kauppila M. 14. Kawakita E. 29. Muzaci A. 19. Pippola T. 4. Sairinen A. 17. Sihvonen A. (C) 28. Vakiparta T.
Substitutes
16. Forsman P. 74. Koistinen S. 2. Mahugo K. 49. Montonen B. 33. Oikarinen E. (G) 10. Partanen J. 26. Saarenkunnas S. 11. Smith T. 9. Turunen M.	5. Aitos J. 11. Dahlfors O. 30. Harju N. (G) 26. Ikonen L. 16. Pohtio V. 18. Rajamaki N. 10. Riski Ri.
Coaches
Hallikainen M.	Pinol I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
21', 0 - 1, Pippola T. ⚽,
21', Huhtala R. 🟨,
28', 1 - 1, Tykkylainen N. ⚽, Kiuru J. (A),
31', 1 - 2, Pippola T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Bostrom A. 🟨,
56', Tykkylainen N. 🟨,
64', Haataja N. 🟨,
66', Forss L. ↓, Forsman P. ↑,
76', Kiuru J. ↓, Turunen M. ↑,
79', Vakiparta T. ↓, Dahlfors O. ↑,
89', Huhtala R. ↓, Partanen J. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JIPPO won 3.

JIPPO has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

TPS is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, JIPPO won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 0.9:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, JIPPO won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JIPPO
Finnish Ykkosliiga
14.06.25	Salon Palloilijat - JIPPO	0:0 ✺
06.06.25	SJK Akatemia - JIPPO	3:1 ✺
01.06.25	JIPPO - PK-35 Vantaa	1:1 ✺
25.05.25	Ekenäs - JIPPO	1:1 ✺
21.05.25	JIPPO - Klubi 04	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLTTL
- TPS
Finnish Ykkosliiga
13.06.25	TPS - SJK Akatemia	3:2 ✺
06.06.25	PK-35 Vantaa - TPS	2:3 ✺
02.06.25	TPS - Ekenäs	2:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
28.05.25	IFK Mariehamn - TPS	3:2 penalties ✺
Finnish Ykkosliiga
25.05.25	Salon Palloilijat - TPS	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
26.04.25	TPS - JIPPO	2:1
Finnish Ykkoscup
04.04.25	TPS - JIPPO	0:1 penalties
Finnish Ykkosliiga
12.09.24	TPS - JIPPO	0:1
27.07.24	JIPPO - TPS	2:0
08.06.24	TPS - JIPPO	2:0
Finnish Ykkonen
03.08.21	JIPPO - TPS	0:1
29.05.21	TPS - JIPPO	0:1

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