Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 6 June 2025, Friday

Location: Algeco Areena (Helsinki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	PK-35 Vantaa		TPS

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3.5	2.3
	2.68	3.6	2.28
	2.54	3.77	2.54
	2.74	3.74	2.31	Watch
	2.6	3.5	2.2
	2.75	3.6	2.27
	2.68	3.6	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (2.72)	3.62 ↑ (3.5)	2.31 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PK-35 Vantaa
34.9%

Draw
25.4%

TPS
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

26.4%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

27.4%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PK-35 Vantaa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

TPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PK-35 Vantaa than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	27.3%	54.5%

PK 35 Vantaa - TPS Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. PK-35 will win (votes: 2 - 20%). TPS will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for TPS: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. PK-35 (votes: 1 - 33.3%). TPS (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - PK-35 (2.03) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. PK-35 (votes: 3 - 60%). TPS (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
69. Goumas D. (G) 27. Ahmed-Nur A. 7. Diniz P. 9. Markkanen E. (C) 88. Pikkuhookana J. 18. Pitkala E. 21. Rasanen K. 2. Sipi R. 3. Sundman J. 19. Tolonen M. 5. Viramaki K.	12. Hakanpaa O. (G) 8. Bostrom A. 2. Haggstrom O. 9. Helen O. 26. Ikonen L. 20. Kauppila M. 14. Kawakita E. 29. Muzaci A. 19. Pippola T. 4. Sairinen A. 17. Sihvonen A. (C)
Substitutes
34. Andberg T. 10. Beyai M. 14. Mehmeti E. 77. Mohamed H. 4. Okoye F. 8. Pallas E. 11. Sillah S. 1. Viljala V. (G) 26. Ziprus J. (G)	3. Collin E. 11. Dahlfors O. 30. Harju N. (G) 15. Louramo A. 16. Pohtio V. 18. Rajamaki N. 10. Riski Ri. 28. Vakiparta T.
Coaches
Santos T.	Pinol I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Muzaci A. ⚽, Bostrom A. (A),
14', Pikkuhookana J. 🟨,
16', 1 - 1, Diniz P. ⚽, Tolonen M. (A),
44', 1 - 2, Ikonen L. ⚽, Helen O. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Goumas D. 🟨,
57', Pitkala E. 🟨,
68', Tolonen M. ↓, Pallas E. ↑,
68', Rasanen K. ↓, Beyai M. ↑,
68', Sundman J. ↓, Okoye F. ↑,
70', 2 - 2, Sairinen A. (Own goal),
77', Muzaci A. 🟨,
79', 2 - 3, Helen O. ⚽, Pippola T. (A),
80', Kauppila M. ↓, Collin E. ↑,
83', Pitkala E. ↓, Sillah S. ↑,
88', Markkanen E. 🟨,
90+1', Markkanen E. ↓, Mehmeti E. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PK-35 won 2.

PK-35 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

TPS's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, PK-35 won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, PK-35 won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.4:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PK-35 Vantaa
Finnish Ykkosliiga
01.06.25	JIPPO - PK-35 Vantaa	1:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
28.05.25	HJS - PK-35 Vantaa	0:1 ✺
Finnish Ykkosliiga
25.05.25	Klubi 04 - PK-35 Vantaa	1:1 ✺
21.05.25	PK-35 Vantaa - JäPS	1:0 ✺
18.05.25	PK-35 Vantaa - KaPa	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWTWW
- TPS
Finnish Ykkosliiga
02.06.25	TPS - Ekenäs	2:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
28.05.25	IFK Mariehamn - TPS	3:2 penalties ✺
Finnish Ykkosliiga
25.05.25	Salon Palloilijat - TPS	1:2 ✺
21.05.25	TPS - Lahti	2:2 ✺
18.05.25	Klubi 04 - TPS	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkoscup
01.03.25	PK-35 Vantaa - TPS	0:0
Finnish Ykkosliiga
30.08.24	TPS - PK-35 Vantaa	1:2
19.06.24	TPS - PK-35 Vantaa	2:2
24.04.24	PK-35 Vantaa - TPS	1:1
Club Friendly
19.01.24	TPS - PK-35 Vantaa	1:2
03.03.23	TPS - PK-35 Vantaa	2:1
Finnish Ykkonen
04.08.22	PK-35 Vantaa - TPS	2:1

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