Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 6

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday


	JKS Jarosław		Star Starachowice

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.70	3.20
	1.9	3.55	3.2
	1.84	3.89	3.4
	1.88	3.78	3.38
	1.82	3.6	3.35
	1.93	3.96	3.23	Watch
	1.98	3.41	3.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.47)	3.7 ↑ (3.45)	3.25 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JKS Jarosław
47.8%

Draw
24.4%

Star Starachowice
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

25.7%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

25%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JKS Jarosław has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in JKS Jarosław's performance.

Star Starachowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Star Starachowice might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JKS Jarosław than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with JKS Jarosław that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Star Starachowice than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Star Starachowice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

JKS Jarosław - Star Starachowice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Janiczak G. ⚽,
33', Swigut A. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
68', 2 - 0, Phkhakadze J. ⚽,
73', 3 - 0, Prokic A. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

JKS Jarosław might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Jaroslaw	11	5	2	4	27:20	7	17
15	Star Starachowice	11	2	5	4	13:17	-4	11

Last Results with these Odds

Star Starachowice - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 38.39%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JKS 1909 Jarosław
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
22.08.26	JKS Jarosław - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - JKS Jarosław	1:3 ✺
15.08.26	JKS Jarosław - Wieczysta II	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Wisłoka Dębica - JKS Jarosław	3:1 ✺
01.08.26	JKS Jarosław - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLLT
- Star Starachowice
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
22.08.26	Star Starachowice - Busko-Zdrój	1:1 ✺
19.08.26	Star Starachowice - Czarni Połaniec	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Hetman Zamość - Star Starachowice	3:0 ✺
09.08.26	Star Starachowice - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	0:0 ✺
01.08.26	Wisła II Kraków - Star Starachowice	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWLTL

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