Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 17

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Star Starachowice		Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.45	2.72
	2.17	3.48	2.77
	2.48	3.51	2.48	Watch
	2.2	3.42	2.83	Watch
	2.08	3.55	2.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.08)	3.48 ↓ (3.55)	2.72 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Star Starachowice
40.7%

Draw
26%

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

25.1%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

26.2%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Star Starachowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Star Starachowice than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Star Starachowice - Pogoń Sokół Lubaczów Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Lubaczów (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Lubaczów (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lubaczów (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Winsztal P. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 7).

Star Starachowice has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lubaczów is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Star Starachowice won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Star Starachowice won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Star Starachowice
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
08.11.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Star Starachowice	2:1 ✺
31.10.25	Star Starachowice - Czarni Połaniec	3:2 ✺
25.10.25	Avia Świdnik - Star Starachowice	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Star Starachowice - Chełmianka Chełm	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Naprzód Jędrzejów - Star Starachowice	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWTTW
- Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
08.11.25	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Wisła II Kraków	3:3 ✺
31.10.25	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	0:3 ✺
25.10.25	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Świdniczanka Świdnik	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Korona Kielce 2	0:0 ✺
11.10.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
09.03.25	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Star Starachowice	1:3
17.08.24	Star Starachowice - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	1:0

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