The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
JKT Tanzania 55.4%
Draw 28.3%
Mbeya City 16.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
33.4%
29.5%
37.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.5%
30.3%
38.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
JKT Tanzania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in JKT Tanzania's performance.
Mbeya City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mbeya City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for JKT Tanzania than the current prediction. (-22.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with JKT Tanzania that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mbeya City than the current prediction. (+21.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mbeya City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
JKT Tanzania - Mbeya City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Chalamanda R. (G) . Bakari M. . Chubi S. 4. Kapalata H. (C) 22. Kombo K. 24. Luzendaze G. 45. Mabula T. 31. Machezo A. 9. Mashaka V. 2. Mfaume K. . Paschal
31. Kutusha T. (G) 32. Abdallah O. 16. Benson A. 8. Buzungu O. 20. Cheda 29. Chota G. 60. Maranyingi B. 22. Mayanga V. 14. Mbarouk N. 33. Mtabwigwa 4. Pillar K. (C)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 🟨,
45', 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 0, Mashaka V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 🟨,
69', 🟨,
89', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 9th and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JKT Tanzania won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with JKT Tanzania holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, JKT Tanzania has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:12 (averaging 0.7:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for JKT Tanzania against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:1 goals (averaging 0.7:0.3 per game).