Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 7

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sokoine Stadium (Mbeya) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 1


	Mbeya City		Kagera Sugar

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.10	2.87
	2.08	3.05	3.05
	2.53	2.56	3.32	Watch
	2.53	3.04	2.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (1.92)	2.94 ↓ (3)	2.94 ↓ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mbeya City
38.6%

Draw
30.7%

Kagera Sugar
30.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.2%

29.5%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mbeya City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mbeya City's form might have worsened.

Kagera Sugar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kagera Sugar's recent form is better than expected.

Mbeya City - Kagera Sugar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Kutusha 32. Abdallah O. 10. Ambokile E. (C) 26. Buha A. 8. Buzungu O. 20. Cheda 14. Mbarouk N. 33. Mtabigva 49. Mwajanga O. 21. Mwanuke J. 5. Seleman Mbegu Y.	1. Kipao S. (G) 29. Evastus J. 18. Masanja J. 20. Mhilu D. 24. Milandu D. 10. Mvuyekule E. 13. Ndemla S. 14. Opiyo 47. Said M. 37. Yassin Y. 45. Zuberi Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
45+3', 0 - 1, Mvuyekule E. ⚽,
45+8', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', 1 - 2, Said M. ⚽,
76', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 6th and 16th in the Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mbeya City won 0.

In recent outings, Mbeya City has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Mbeya City carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Mbeya City has recorded 2 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:12 (averaging 0.8:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Mbeya City against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with 4:8 goals (averaging 0.6:1.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Mbeya City	8	3	1	4	8:9	-1	10
15	Kagera Sugar	9	1	3	5	9:17	-8	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mbeya City FC
Tanzanian Premier League
12.09.26	Polisi Tanzania - Mbeya City	2:0 ✺
04.09.26	TRA United - Mbeya City	0:0 ✺
28.08.26	Singida Fountain Gate - Mbeya City	0:2 ✺
19.08.26	Mbeya City - Dodoma Jiji	2:0 ✺
14.08.26	Mbeya City - Geita Gold	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTWWL
- Kagera Sugar FC
Tanzanian Premier League
13.09.26	Kagera Sugar - Singida Fountain Gate	1:1 ✺
31.08.26	Kagera Sugar - Azam	0:2 ✺
27.08.26	Mashujaa - Kagera Sugar	2:1 ✺
19.08.26	Kagera Sugar - Singida Black Stars	1:1 ✺
22.06.25	Simba - Kagera Sugar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
23.04.23	Kagera Sugar - Mbeya City	1:0
17.11.22	Mbeya City - Kagera Sugar	2:2
12.03.22	Mbeya City - Kagera Sugar	0:1
16.10.21	Kagera Sugar - Mbeya City	0:0
08.04.21	Mbeya City - Kagera Sugar	0:0
24.10.20	Kagera Sugar - Mbeya City	1:2
04.03.20	Kagera Sugar - Mbeya City	2:3

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