Match Info

MOL Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stadion Strelnice (Jablonec nad Nisou)


	Jablonec		Dukla Prague

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.7	5.5
	1.55	3.95	5.5	Watch
	1.59	3.8	5.64	Watch
	1.48	4	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.46)	3.86 ↓ (4)	5.6 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jablonec
59.7%

Draw
23.8%

Dukla Prague
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

22.7%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

22.3%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jablonec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Dukla Prague has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jablonec than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dukla Prague than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Jablonec - Dukla Prague Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Jablonec (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 2nd Half - Jablonec (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Jablonec (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Jablonec will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Jablonec (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Mihelak K. (G) 77. Alegue A. 18. Cedidla M. 90. Innocenti N. 17. Lavrincik S. 84. Pantalon R. 21. Polidar M. 16. Rusek A. 13. Sedlacek R. 10. Suchan J. 4. Tekijaski N. (C)	31. Jagrik A. (G) 12. Ambler M. 8. Gaszczyk P. 2. Isife S. 16. Jedlicka T. 39. Kozma D. 7. Peterka J. (C) 15. Sebrle S. 22. Traore M. 5. Velasquez D. 20. Zitny M.
Substitutes
7. Chanturishvili V. 19. Chramosta J. 1. Hanus J. (G) 26. Karban K. 42. Malensek M. 57. Novak F. 9. Penxa L. 24. Puskac D. 14. Soucek D. 5. Stepanek D. 8. Zorvan F.	19. Cermak M. 95. Cernak M. 17. Fokam J. 6. Holis R. 26. Kadak J. 9. Kroupa M. 1. Matrevics R. (G) 37. Pourzitidis M. 3. Sehovic Z. 23. Svozil J. 14. Tijani S.
Coaches
Kozel L.	Holoubek D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Rusek A. ⚽,
6', Sebrle S. 🟨,
30', Ambler M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Rusek A. 🟨,
62', Rusek A. ↓, Puskac D. ↑,
62', Alegue A. ↓, Malensek M. ↑,
62', Cedidla M. ↓, Chanturishvili V. ↑,
63', Sebrle S. ↓, Kroupa M. ↑,
63', Ambler M. ↓, Sehovic Z. ↑,
63', Velasquez D. ↓, Cernak M. ↑,
65', Isife S. 🟨,
69', Traore M. 🟨,
73', Lavrincik S. ↓, Zorvan F. ↑,
78', 2 - 0, Puskac D. ⚽,
80', Jedlicka T. ↓, Fokam J. ↑,
85', Polidar M. ↓, Penxa L. ↑,
89', 2 - 1, Cernak M. ⚽, Isife S. (A),
90+3', Gaszczyk P. ↓, Kadak J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jablonec won 2.

Jablonec is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Dukla Prague has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Jablonec is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Dukla Prague: Emeka C. (Inactive) Mikus R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Jablonec: Jawo L. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jablonec won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 32:39. (average 1.6:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Jablonec won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 1.6:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Jablonec
Czech 1 Liga
25.10.25	Slovan Liberec - Jablonec	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Jablonec - Dukla Prague	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Sigma Olomouc - Jablonec	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Jablonec - Mladá Boleslav	2:0 ✺
Czech Cup
24.09.25	Hlinsko - Jablonec	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTLWW
- Dukla Prague
Czech 1 Liga
25.10.25	Dukla Prague - Slovácko	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Jablonec - Dukla Prague	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Dukla Prague - Teplice	1:3 ✺
Czech Cup
30.09.25	Vysočina Jihlava - Dukla Prague	0:1 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
26.09.25	Slavia Prague - Dukla Prague	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
19.10.25	Jablonec - Dukla Prague	0:0
07.12.24	Jablonec - Dukla Prague	2:1
10.08.24	Dukla Prague - Jablonec	0:2
Czech Tipsport Liga
08.01.22	Jablonec - Dukla Prague	2:3
Club Friendly
09.01.21	Dukla Prague - Jablonec	3:1
Czech Tipsport Liga
18.01.20	Dukla Prague - Jablonec	2:3
Czech 1 Liga
14.04.19	Jablonec - Dukla Prague	2:1

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