The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jablonec B 39%
Draw 25.7%
Varnsdorf 35.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.6%
25.3%
34.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.5%
27.1%
31.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jablonec B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Varnsdorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jablonec B than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varnsdorf than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Jablonec B - Varnsdorf Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Kotlin A. (G) 11. Breda D. (C) 22. Hanzlicek J. 24. Kubat A. 10. Makanjuola S. 9. Maly A. 17. Maly E. 2. Melka D. 14. Nazarov Y. 25. Novotny S. 6. Soroka R.
33. Richter A. (G) 16. Ahile T. 12. Berezka D. 15. Boryshpolets S. 20. Funda L. 17. Havryliuk N. 24. Kovbasa A. 22. Rudoselskiy T. 10. Senko K. 2. Sokol J. 4. Tymoshenko I.
Substitutes
7. Erewa G. 19. Kucera P. 21. Mader M. 1. Reiner V. (G) 5. Svaty K. 8. Svehla K.
7. Barylyak S. 18. Grafek D. 5. Lopez M. 23. Panchenko S. 9. Plachy J. 1. Roze V. (G) 11. Sirenko O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Berezka D. ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Maly A. ⚽,
45', 2 - 1, Breda D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Funda L. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
50', Kubat A. 🟨,
52', Novotny S. 🟨,
67', Rudoselskiy T. ↓, Barylyak S. ↑,
70', Novotny S. ↓, Svehla K. ↑,
73', 2 - 2, Ahile T. ⚽,
75', 2 - 3, Barylyak S. ⚽,
78', Kubat A. ↓, Erewa G. ↑,
78', Hanzlicek J. ↓, Kucera P. ↑,
82', Berezka D. ↓, Panchenko S. ↑,
85', Panchenko S. 🟨,
90', 3 - 3, Nazarov Y. ⚽,
90+3', Melka D. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 14).
Jablonec B has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Varnsdorf is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Jablonec B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Varnsdorf has had a series of home games.
Jablonec B could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Jablonec B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 1.3:3.3).
Including home match between the teams, Jablonec B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.