Match Info

Paulista A4 - Round 8

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday


	Jacareí		Colorado Caieiras

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.1	5.5
	1.67	3.13	5.36
	1.79	3.01	4.94	Watch
	1.67	2.9	5.5
	1.84	3.28	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.97)	3.08 ↓ (3.1)	5.12 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacareí
52.8%

Draw
29.4%

Colorado Caieiras
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

29.3%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

27.5%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacareí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jacareí's performance.

Colorado Caieiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Colorado Caieiras might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacareí than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colorado Caieiras than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colorado Caieiras could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jacareí - Colorado Caieiras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Oliveira E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista B).

Jacareí is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Colorado Caieiras is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Jacareí is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Jacareí will win today's game, with odds of 2.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacareí FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
28.02.26	Taquaritinga - Jacareí	0:1 ✺
25.02.26	Jacareí - Araçatuba	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Nacional SP - Jacareí	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Jacareí - São Caetano	0:0 ✺
11.02.26	Jabaquara - Jacareí	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WWWTW
- Colorado Caieiras FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
28.02.26	Colorado Caieiras - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense	1:1 ✺
25.02.26	Colorado Caieiras - Comercial SP	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Araçatuba - Colorado Caieiras	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Colorado Caieiras - Jabaquara	0:0 ✺
11.02.26	Inter de Bebedouro - Colorado Caieiras	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLTL

Jacareí - Colorado Caieiras: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide