Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 8

Date: 15 June 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Jacuipense		Falcon

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.6	5.5
	1.6	3.1	5.7
	1.63	2.7	5.3
	1.5	3.4	5.8
	1.52	3.8	6.05
	1.53	3.5	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.93)	3.35 ↑ (3)	5.81 ↑ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacuipense
57.8%

Draw
26.8%

Falcon
15.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.5%

29.3%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

27.8%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacuipense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jacuipense's performance.

Falcon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Falcon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacuipense than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jacuipense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Falcon than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Falcon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Jacuipense - Falcon Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Jacuipense will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Falcon will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jacuipense: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 5 and 8).

Recent matches Jacuipense is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Falcon is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Falcon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Jacuipense is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Jacuipense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Jacuipense
Brazilian Serie D
11.06.23	Falcon - Jacuipense	1:1 ✺
08.06.23	Jacuipense - Cruzeiro Arapiraca	4:1 ✺
04.06.23	Jacuipense - Retrô Brasil	0:1 ✺
27.05.23	Bahia de Feira - Jacuipense	2:2 ✺
21.05.23	Jacuipense - Atlético de Alagoinhas	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWLTT
- Falcon FC
Brazilian Serie D
11.06.23	Falcon - Jacuipense	1:1 ✺
07.06.23	Bahia de Feira - Falcon	3:1 ✺
03.06.23	Falcon - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:1 ✺
28.05.23	Cruzeiro Arapiraca - Falcon	1:1 ✺
20.05.23	Falcon - Sergipe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
11.06.23	Falcon - Jacuipense	1:1

Jacuipense - Falcon