Match Info
Sergipano - Round 4Date: 24 January 2026, SaturdayLocation: Estádio Estadual Lourival Baptista (Aracaju)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Falcon |
|
Sergipe |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.6 |
2.88 |
2.05 |
|
 |
4.13 |
2.75 |
2 |
|
 |
4.05 |
3 |
1.95 |
 Watch |
 |
4 |
2.75 |
2 |
|
 |
4.15 |
2.93 |
1.93 |
|
 |
4.2 |
2.9 |
1.92 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.02 ↑
(3.42) |
2.87 ↓
(2.9) |
1.98 ↓
(2.13) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Falcon
22.5% | Draw
31.6% | Sergipe
45.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Falcon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Sergipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Falcon - Sergipe Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 31', 0 - 1, Lucas Mineiro ⚽,
- 38', 0 - 2, Juliano Fabro ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Falcon won 3.Falcon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Sergipe will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Falcon won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Falcon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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