Match Info

Baiano - Round 6

Date: 4 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Governador Roberto Santos (Pituacu) (Salvador)


	Jacuipense		Jequié

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	3.2
	2.23	3.05	3.34
	2.21	2.96	3.3	Watch
	2.2	2.8	3.1
	2.25	3.03	3.4
	2.28	3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.13)	2.97 ↓ (3.15)	3.29 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacuipense
41.1%

Draw
30.9%

Jequié
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

29%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

28.1%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacuipense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

The chances for Jequié have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacuipense than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jequié than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Jacuipense - Jequié Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Jacuipense (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Jacuipense (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Jacuipense (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marcelo (C) 20. Alison Daniel 11. Flavinho 22. Hugo Moura 9. Jarles Baiano 3. Railon 14. Thiago 18. Vicente 8. Vinicius Amaral 4. Weverton 7. William	12. Fabio (G) 14. Caique Baiano 2. Carlos Santos 17. Claudinei 16. Gabriel Carioca 8. Jo 20. Nael 9. Recife T. 15. Sergio Baiano 3. William Mineiro (C) 25. Ze Gatinha
Substitutes
19. Adriano 13. Daniel 16. David Santana 15. Gabriel Pereira 10. Geovani 23. Italo Pezao (G) 17. Joao Pedro 6. Ruan 25. Sidney Freitas 5. Talisca 21. Thiaguinho 2. Vicente	1. Andre Lucas (G) 7. Cassio 19. Dhomene 13. Diego Bolt 18. Elivelton 23. Guilherme 21. Joao Grilo 10. Luiz Fernando 22. Marcinho 11. Matos dos Santos Junior E. 5. Walfrido 4. Weverton

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Gabriel Carioca ⚽,
14', Carlos Santos ↓, Diego Bolt ↑,
21', Ze Gatinha 🟨,
28', Railon 🟨,
34', 0 - 2, Ze Gatinha ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', 🟨,
75', 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 8 and 5).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Jacuipense won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Jacuipense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Jacuipense
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
28.01.26	Juazeirense - Jacuipense	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Jacuipense - Galícia	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Jacuipense	0:0 ✺
13.01.26	Jacuipense - Vitória Salvador	0:0 ✺
10.01.26	Porto SC - Jacuipense	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWTTL
- AD Jequié
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
29.01.26	Bahia de Feira - Jequié	1:2 ✺
22.01.26	Jequié - Atlético de Alagoinhas	4:1 ✺
18.01.26	Juazeirense - Jequié	1:0 ✺
15.01.26	Jequié - Porto SC	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Bahia - Jequié	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
22.02.25	Jequié - Jacuipense	1:2
17.02.24	Jacuipense - Jequié	1:0
10.03.19	Jacuipense - Jequié	2:1
04.03.18	Jequié - Jacuipense	0:1

Jacuipense - Jequié: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide