Match Info

Baiano - Round 2

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday


	Jacuipense		Vitória Salvador

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.98	3.45
	2.12	2.9	3.62	Watch
	2.15	2.75	3.3
	2.69	2.94	2.49
	2.14	3.1	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.3)	2.93 ↓ (3.3)	3.29 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacuipense
40.8%

Draw
31.3%

Vitória Salvador
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

27.7%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacuipense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Jacuipense - Vitória Salvador Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vitória (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Vitória (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Vitória (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marcelo (C) 10. Geovani 22. Hugo Moura 9. Jarles Baiano 3. Railon 16. Ruan 14. Thiago 21. Thiaguinho 8. Vinicius Amaral 4. Weverton 7. William	1. Yuri (G) 22. Diogo Antonio 8. Dudu Miraima (C) 3. Edenilson 11. Felipe Cardoso 6. Felipe Vieira 4. Henrique I. 9. Lawan 10. Pablo 2. Roberto P. 5. Ze Breno
Substitutes
19. Adriano Jr. 20. Alison Daniel 18. David Santana 11. Flavinho 15. Gabriel Pereira 6. Geferson 23. Italo Pezao (G) 13. Jhones Germano 17. Pedro J. 25. Sidney Freitas 5. Talisca 2. Vicente	24. Bernardo 12. Gabriel (G) 15. Ignacio 14. Joao 20. Kevin 19. Kike Saverio 21. Lucas Lohan 7. Luis Miguel 17. Machado I. 16. Sobral

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ruan ↓, Geferson ↑,
46', Lawan ↓, Lucas Lohan ↑,
54', Geovani 🟨,
61', Roberto P. ↓, Sobral ↑,
61', Felipe Cardoso ↓, Kike Saverio ↑,
66', Geovani ↓, Flavinho ↑,
71', Vinicius Amaral ↓, David Santana ↑,
71', William ↓, Alison Daniel ↑,
79', Dudu Miraima ↓, Luis Miguel ↑,
86', Thiaguinho ↓, Pedro J. ↑,
90', David Santana 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jacuipense won 1.

Vitória is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Jacuipense won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Jacuipense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Vitória Salvador - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 32.46%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Jacuipense
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
10.01.26	Porto SC - Jacuipense	3:2 ✺
09.03.25	Jacuipense - Bahia	0:5 ✺
01.03.25	Bahia - Jacuipense	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Jequié - Jacuipense	1:2 ✺
19.02.25	Jacuipense - Porto SC	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.4 LLWWW
- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
10.01.26	Vitória Salvador - Atlético de Alagoinhas	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
07.12.25	Vitória Salvador - São Paulo	1:0 ✺
03.12.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Vitória Salvador	4:0 ✺
29.11.25	Vitória Salvador - Mirassol	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Sport Recife - Vitória Salvador	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
19.01.25	Vitória Salvador - Jacuipense	1:1
17.01.24	Jacuipense - Vitória Salvador	0:1
12.02.23	Vitória Salvador - Jacuipense	1:1
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
08.01.23	Vitória Salvador - Jacuipense	1:0
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
29.01.22	Jacuipense - Vitória Salvador	1:0
02.05.21	Vitória Salvador - Jacuipense	1:2
15.03.20	Jacuipense - Vitória Salvador	1:0

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