Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 14

Date: 21 July 2024, Sunday


	Jacuipense		Petrolina

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.33	8.75
	1.3	4.5	9
	1.33	4.12	10.91	Watch
	1.2	4.75	11
	1.33	4.25	9.15
	1.3	4.5	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.39)	4.41 ↑ (3.87)	9.64 ↑ (8.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacuipense
70%

Draw
20.6%

Petrolina
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

23.6%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

13.8%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacuipense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Petrolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacuipense than the current prediction. (-31.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jacuipense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petrolina than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Petrolina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jacuipense - Petrolina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Vitinho ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 2 - 0, Matheus Firmino ⚽,
82', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Jacuipense
Brazilian Serie D
13.07.24	Sergipe - Jacuipense	0:1 ✺
07.07.24	Juazeirense - Jacuipense	2:1 ✺
04.07.24	Jacuipense - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	1:0 ✺
26.06.24	Jacuipense - Clube Sociedade Esportiva	1:2 ✺
16.06.24	Itabaiana - Jacuipense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWLL
- Petrolina SFC
Brazilian Serie D
13.07.24	Petrolina - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:3 ✺
07.07.24	Itabaiana - Petrolina	2:0 ✺
03.07.24	Petrolina - Sergipe	1:1 ✺
26.06.24	Retrô Brasil - Petrolina	1:0 ✺
16.06.24	Juazeirense - Petrolina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
27.04.24	Petrolina - Jacuipense	0:0

Jacuipense - Petrolina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide