Match Info
BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 11Date: 3 July 2024, WednesdayLocation: Estádio Paulo Coelho (Petrolina)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Petrolina |
|
Sergipe |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.15 |
3 |
3 |
|
 |
2.45 |
2.85 |
2.95 |
|
 |
2.42 |
2.71 |
2.96 |
|
 |
2.42 |
2.9 |
3.02 |
 Watch |
 |
2.38 |
2.94 |
2.98 |
|
 |
2.45 |
2.85 |
2.95 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↑
(2.02) |
2.88 ↓
(3.5) |
2.98 ↓
(3.07) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Petrolina
38.1% | Draw
31.5% | Sergipe
30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Petrolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Petrolina's form might have worsened.Sergipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petrolina than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Petrolina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (-1.5%)Petrolina - Sergipe Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 23', 0 - 1, Arthur Santos ⚽,
- 43', 1 - 1, Emerson Galego ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 7 and 8). Petrolina is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0). Recent matches Sergipe is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2). Petrolina will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Petrolina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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