Match Info

Druga NL - Round 17

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: NK Jadran (Luka Ploce)


	Jadran Luka Ploče		Bjelovar

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.6	3.5
	1.83	3.66	3.5
	1.82	3.81	3.57	Watch
	1.8	3.3	3.75
	1.86	3.73	3.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.53)	3.62 ↓ (3.85)	3.59 ↓ (5.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jadran Luka Ploče
49.7%

Draw
25.1%

Bjelovar
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

23.5%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jadran Luka Ploče has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jadran Luka Ploče's form might have worsened.

Bjelovar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bjelovar's recent form is better than expected.

Jadran Luka Ploče - Bjelovar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Maric N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', 1 - 1, ⚽,
76', 🟥,
90+4', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jadran Luka Ploče won 1.

Jadran Luka Ploče may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Jadran Luka Ploče is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Jadran Luka Ploče won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Jadran Luka Ploče won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bjelovar	7	4	2	1	16:9	7	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jadran Luka Ploče
Croatian Druga NL
21.02.26	Segesta - Jadran Luka Ploče	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
20.01.26	Jadran Luka Ploče - Zrinjski Mostar	1:7 ✺
Croatian Druga NL
29.11.25	Radnik Križevci - Jadran Luka Ploče	3:1 ✺
22.11.25	Jadran Luka Ploče - Đakovo Croatia	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Jadran Luka Ploče - Lučko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWW
- NK Bjelovar
Club Friendly
11.02.26	Trnje Zagreb - Bjelovar	4:3 ✺
07.02.26	Bjelovar - Mladost Ždralovi	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Bjelovar - Koprivnica	2:0 ✺
Croatian Druga NL
29.11.25	Bjelovar - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Solin - Bjelovar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Druga NL
30.08.25	Bjelovar - Jadran Luka Ploče	1:1
15.03.25	Bjelovar - Jadran Luka Ploče	0:0
14.09.24	Jadran Luka Ploče - Bjelovar	2:3
16.03.24	Bjelovar - Jadran Luka Ploče	2:1
09.09.23	Jadran Luka Ploče - Bjelovar	1:0
29.04.23	Jadran Luka Ploče - Bjelovar	0:0
22.10.22	Bjelovar - Jadran Luka Ploče	0:0

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