Match Info

Druga NL - Round 21

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: NK Jadran (Luka Ploce)


	Jadran Luka Ploče		Dugo Selo

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.25	6.3
	1.39	4.37	6.3
	1.4	4.42	6.61	Watch
	1.36	3.9	7
	1.46	4.2	6.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.41)	4.23 ↑ (4.13)	6.52 ↓ (6.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jadran Luka Ploče
64.7%

Draw
21.4%

Dugo Selo
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

22%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

16.8%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jadran Luka Ploče has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Dugo Selo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jadran Luka Ploče than the current prediction. (-15.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jadran Luka Ploče that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dugo Selo than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Jadran Luka Ploče - Dugo Selo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, Maric N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
77', 2 - 0, Rodin N. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jadran Luka Ploče won 3.

In recent matches, Jadran Luka Ploče has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dugo Selo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Dugo Selo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Jadran Luka Ploče is the obvious favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Jadran Luka Ploče won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 1.9:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Jadran Luka Ploče won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Dugo Selo	7	4	1	2	11:6	5	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jadran Luka Ploče
Croatian Druga NL
21.03.26	Grobničan - Jadran Luka Ploče	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Jadran Luka Ploče - Kustošija	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Uskok Klis - Jadran Luka Ploče	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	Jadran Luka Ploče - Bjelovar	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Segesta - Jadran Luka Ploče	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLWL
- NK Dugo Selo
Croatian Druga NL
21.03.26	Dugo Selo - Varteks Varazdin	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Dugo Selo	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Dugo Selo - Solin	1:2 ✺
03.03.26	Dugo Selo - Uljanik Pula	0:4 ✺
27.02.26	Mladost Ždralovi - Dugo Selo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Druga NL
27.09.25	Dugo Selo - Jadran Luka Ploče	1:2
24.05.25	Dugo Selo - Jadran Luka Ploče	0:3
23.11.24	Jadran Luka Ploče - Dugo Selo	2:2
24.05.24	Jadran Luka Ploče - Dugo Selo	2:1
18.11.23	Dugo Selo - Jadran Luka Ploče	0:0
21.05.23	Dugo Selo - Jadran Luka Ploče	0:2
12.11.22	Jadran Luka Ploče - Dugo Selo	2:1

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